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[lastpost] => 2809199 迈克·诺沃格拉茨：比特币和山寨币100倍加密货币回报的时代已经结束（转） 1772491767 whywhy
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元！ 若贺锦丽胜选，BTC恐回测四万支撑位（转）
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伯恩斯坦分析师表示，尽管比特币长期看涨，但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势，若川普胜选，比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元；若贺锦丽获胜，比特币可能将下跌，并测试40,000 美元支撑位。
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备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时，华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦（Bernstein）分析师近期也再度重申表示，从长期来看，无论大选结果如何，在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下，比特币都将向好发展。+ L/ h: U- H" M: I% }" r# e3 D
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贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元
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不过，伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看，如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜，短期内市场可能将受到打击，比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位：
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如果贺锦丽获胜，在短期内，我们预计比特币将下跌，并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。
, f1 d+ i. k" I# V; W2 I6 E% U但如果是美国前总统川普胜选，将更有助于比特币上涨，BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元：
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川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响，在川普获胜的情况下，我们预计比特币将再创历史新高，达到80,000 或90,000 美元。
- Y4 d0 _; D) m山寨币在选举前将保持震荡* G2 r4 R' d9 P& c
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同时，伯恩斯坦分析师还预计，包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币，在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡，因为除了选举结果外，山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。
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2 X1 f' L; j9 f: B. v0 V比特币下杀6 万大关
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$ `% p8 @9 n3 Z" C* F, [而在加密货币市场方面，尽管稍早美股收涨，但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑，今（10）晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。+ j }) l6 C; O$ ~3 H f7 j
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元，近24 小时下跌2.73%，能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。- L: C# \- X( ^( e6 ~5 s
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川普胜率达到53.2％
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/ @! p" w' A1 I9 s0 C: m据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示，市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离，为53.2％，贺锦丽只有46.2％。但民调结果本来就常有波动，请谨慎判断。$ B0 x4 X# } t, k
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