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[lastpost] => 2798212 华尔街股市上涨，以太坊下跌——但ETH/BTC汇率却呈现出另一番景象。（转） 1768818895 爱美的女人
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比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 ( ?& K! a- {! G7 G# R
1 c+ q% \, J, |+ K监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，
4 T" R1 _- m" ]9 S
+ e5 {4 j8 @# c专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 $ q6 `+ y9 K4 T& \! _
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有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
$ F* _" L5 G! M5 z+ V/ j" g' ]% V; u/ n; D
股等风险较高的投资。
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2 _! _- X2 O- p+ ?% E( r$ G5 q芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储
' j. c% X% O" m+ A! |+ b
) h' I' Z7 z$ s3 ^* m明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
. x2 `# ~. |9 n6 X* f4 Z9 [5 [6 Y5 C" Y+ E1 \+ d5 P
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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; f6 Z. w$ R- D1 R因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
6 Z* R! Q# y. O0 T, B, }1 S% c+ Q& P9 f1 Z) z
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
. O0 R; x* g7 l, v& {
; ^# @, h- [! y4 J* v仍有许多交易商可能买入。 ' p6 g( H5 W9 P1 e
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的1 j4 K0 M6 T- |# C' y; Y. C
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推动力之一。
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有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ( `2 F; z/ \* G7 V
9 L. C4 D! U- u/ ~: Q! e需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。
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加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣0 b, ]* W8 G8 g4 G/ E+ O
+ M2 |6 o* Q% V% w1 K6 M的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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% Y7 G- w4 ^! r8 q数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至* |- [3 I8 o) a% r% u, \4 }9 L
: @& }6 m! u% P! t% C今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 $ l3 {; j; f. S, t& B' B
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