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[虚拟币交流]
Arthur Hayes：比特币2026年上看100万美元！香港将成重要参与者（6日转）
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老牌加密货币衍生品交易所BitMEX的共同创办人Arthur Hayes，本周在接受百万+ l6 P) P; Z; B3 @
Youtuber Tom Bilyeu的访谈中，对比特币未来的价格做出了大胆预测。9 K0 C; e" ]" H# D P
Hayes认为在全球央行收紧货币政策的背景下、加上比特币在2024年面临减半的叙事，以及比特币现货ETF即将
* k# j, w8 j0 b3 h- M: c上市，他预测在2026年比特币的价格可能将达到75万至100万美元，比市场当前普遍预期的要高得多。
1 u( h3 w1 ~: R激励比特币上涨的关键因素* J4 F- W: o2 C) g9 N [5 C5 P) K
在访谈影片中，Hayes概括了可能推动比特币价格大涨的几个关键因素：
9 G& N7 W& h; j( ~9 f可能出现的货币危机：由于利率的不稳定波动与ZF的过度支出步调不一致，加上在2024年4月比特币将迎来- d3 j g4 p# f) j& @
新一轮的减半事件，在此背景下，比特币将在2024年底触及70,000美元大关 l) m, P5 F7 Y0 K, T$ N
比特币现货ETF即将上市：美国、欧洲甚至香港的资产管理巨头将很快推出多种以比特币为中心的交易所交易
& X& b Z) d( `( M) _9 [' C基金(ETF)，包括当下正等待美国证券交易委员会(SEC)审批的多只比特币现货ETF，这一发展将促成新的加密
! G8 V& V) O6 x6 x货币牛市的到来
( {3 Y, g8 p$ K" Q3 O% Z股市提振：不仅比特币的价格将获得大幅提升，美国股市也将会达到历史高点9 g. G$ A$ k; }
香港将成为加密货币的重要参与者
8 p$ P( V3 g' |" A除了大胆预测比特币价格大涨，Hayes还将注意力转向了各国对加密货币持有的立场，他特别谈到了天朝对于加- `% E9 w( e; k3 J$ z6 W' n
密货币的态度。2 s8 x+ Z& n( C9 z4 p# m" K/ }
Hayes表示，虽然目前在天朝内地已经完全禁止加密货币，但值得注意的现实却是，天朝仍然拥有大量的加密货
2 W. E7 B" {1 j7 q0 C币。而天朝禁止加密货币的主要原因为：2 W0 ~' }6 H" c: Y" K
首要关注的是如何维护社会稳定，而不受控制的加密货币交易可能会扰乱社会秩序
6 ` f' I# R& c* W与加密货币挖矿相关的能源消耗问题，也是一大因素
0 u$ h3 M' M! j9 P7 DHayes继续补充表示，虽然在天朝内地加密货币被禁止，但由于各种ZZ因素和技术条件，香港在加密世界中却1 O2 Q2 x M \+ l9 i# W5 ]
占据了独特的地位，认为香港会是加密世界的重要参与者。
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