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小分3种情况:
1 S$ o$ V3 o% W+ K; S+ x( m
' \7 h% e2 G3 E, Q- D- ?" M1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。) z9 i4 N0 r1 g2 K Z) E
A: C6 T1 ^: l% r2 C- z
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。 N6 G1 S+ p6 A0 y, ~' x+ k( _
( _: F; S: K, o, U3 P
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。
: D: i; e0 X6 ~/ f& A/ C
2 I. L; q: p) E {. ]) E2张牌8或9点的情况有: F }& d/ u& i9 R) A
6 q1 s+ h* s1 m+ s
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
% E$ |/ w1 d3 F- f2 I( l* d: x# C0 m7 ^( \, e- Y0 I4 T" Y
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/4159 y$ |( n$ F. ]4 i$ S, J3 s! h
Z! \& ]/ W% i! g4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/415$ {2 h2 z; @# J) s) r/ i0 j$ Z
3 k0 W$ I% J4 p5 ]/ u1 p$ @
8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/4158 ]2 T; q* D [& } O
4 G4 x+ K: K. ]) A! {由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。/ g9 @& K! ~2 o( K2 G
F' o9 `1 H/ s2 q3 h7 {通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。0 Z* o5 M( r1 R& H3 _
: m0 o/ v! r0 v; K3 o0 D* U: v# C+ \那么我们可以得出
% z* G6 R. O' @1 [9 X- D' r
; f5 P2 Y4 c. _9 u; E$ D7 k' l1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.189434662
7 Y) K+ |3 Y3 ]7 f" S$ `# m1 f; d8 F* O+ @; S# q
2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171 9 J( R* _0 k V1 Z8 n- L7 H
9 C3 t# E; U/ ?4 v. Q+ t0 j% n
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.035885491
2 s3 \ D! ^: J* s
4 {- @. Z; m. o/ e/ I \8 k9 k所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.378869323
5 M5 D7 ~" H f6 a0 J5 A
+ o. o* Z0 s' ~+ b2 R) q百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677
1 ]0 a# r! ]1 f4 t+ Q |
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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