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大家好，我是老李，关注我，了解更多。
因为假期美股今晚休市本周只有四个交易日，公布的经济数据也不是很多。但也有一些需要注意的点：
1.美联储官员的讲话，下周美联储又进入FOMC前的缄默期了，本周是美联储9月份议息会议前最后跟上次行沟通的机会了，相信他们不会放过。
（1）美联储主席鲍威尔和副主席布雷纳德的讲话应该是本周的重点估计市场会仔细分析权衡他们的言论是否能透露出继续加息75个点还是有回落到加息50个基点的空间，从今天来看9月加息75个基点概率略高于50个基点，但是相差不大。预期的变化也会很快。
（2）周三是今年有投票权的克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特的讲话。上周三梅表示，需要在 2023 年初将利率提高到 4% 以上，并在年底前维持在该水平。这是美联储内部一系列鹰派信息中的最新消息。
2. 能源方面，今天是opec欧佩克会议，应该会讨论原油产量的问题。
在当下油价下行阶段，增产的概率应该不大。那么就是维持或者减产了，本次看着大概率是维持了。
不过油价的回落对于产油国在财政上的压力是不小。 能源方面还有一个问题需要关注，就是俄罗斯上周五完全停掉了北溪一号的输气后续的影响。
现在欧盟各国都在拼命囤气确保能够度过即将到来的冬天。
好消息是现在各国天然气储备基本上到了80%以上，坏消息是看了几份报告如果一直断掉欧盟还有超过1亿立方米每天的天然气缺口。
看当下俄也有意把战争拖到冬天、试图利用能源和欧盟各国国内压力逼着欧洲国家就范，最近欧盟几个国家都有大规模的抗议集会了。
上周捷克就爆发了大规模抗议活动，法国？西班牙也都有了。能源成了四季度的能影响市场变盘的潜在风险之一了。
3. 本周四欧央行的利率决议，看市场预期欧洲央行会效仿美联储大幅加息，几个华尔街大行预测欧央行会加息75个基点，欧洲的处境确实越来越不妙。
能源供给恶化，带来通胀持续走高（供给为主）、欧央行不得不大幅加息使得金融条件进一步收紧。
艰难的时期会带来真正的友谊，那些在熊市期间仍然在磨炼和学习的人是那些将长期留在这个行业的人，他们和你一起渡过难关，牛熊。
一个人的加密道路总是那样坎坷。
你需要加入一个由一群志同道合的人组成的队伍。
掌握最新消息。
感谢观看，关注我，我们下期再见！
来源：金色财经 |
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