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美国经济衰退对加密市场意味什么?以太坊PoW分叉币没有吸引力的三个原因
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分析
美经济衰退对加密市场意味什么
PoW分叉币无吸引力的三个原因
瑞银将美国经济衰退的几率提高到 60%,
这对加密市场意味着什么?
加密货币的估值动态与股票、公司债务和股票市场有很大不同。事实是,没有固定的指标或指标来指导代币价格。市场参与者对协议及其用例有不同的看法。
另一方面,股票市场拥有久经考验的估值指标,这些指标几十年来一直在使用,受到分析师、专家和投资者的抨击。例如,价格/收益多重衡量一家公司需要多少年才能产生足够的利润来覆盖其当前的市值。
无论人们如何衡量股市的成功,它都取决于利润率、收入、利率和美元汇率。这就是为什么即使在经济衰退袭击市场之前,一只股票也可能下跌 70% 或更多,因为它迫切需要不断流入的收入。同样的理由不太可能适用于加密货币?
了解股票市场和商品估值
加密货币到底是什么?
投资者是否将比特币 ( BTC ) 和以太坊 ( ETH ) 视为商品、货币或新技术赌注并不重要。这两种资产的生产计划都极为有限,即使算力和验证器(节点)下降 90%,也会保留这些计划。它们作为独立的数字资产传输系统将继续按计划工作。
如前所述,加密货币的价格可能会受到持续经济衰退的严重影响,但几乎不会出现网络因通货膨胀、利率上升或信用违约而变得无用的情况。
现在,这听起来像是一个遥远的梦想,但全面衰退将是自 2009 年比特币问世以来加密货币经历的第一次重大全球金融危机。
从长远来看,加密货币估值是否会持续存在尚未决定。到目前为止,该行业经历了主要的市场参与者失败,包括交易所和借贷中介,在此期间不需要干预。因此,可以说它通过了第一次测试,尽管现在发布最终报告还为时过早。
以太坊 PoW 硬分叉代币
无法获得吸引力的 3 个原因
以太 ( ETH ) 是按市值计算的第二大加密货币,也是按存款计算的去中心化应用程序的绝对领导者。作为自身成功的受害者,该网络在 2021 年 11 月经历了费用上涨,当时平均交易成本超过 50 美元。 |
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