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上周五,美元指数全天维持涨势,收盘时上破108,创下7月15日来新高。此外,投资者对美元的净多头仓位上升,从此前的129.7亿美元攀升至133.7亿,为四周来首次增加。在美国通胀走高、美元指数随之走强的背景下,非美货币走低,全球主要货币集体杀跌。与此同时,离岸人民币一度大跌400点,贬值幅度最多高达1000点;日元兑美元一度狂跌近12000点,上周连续四天贬值;欧元兑美元亦重拾跌势,盘中跌破日第三支撑位1.00455,报1.00453。
在加密货币方面,虽然自7月中旬以来比特币已收复了大部分失地,一度逼近25000美元,然而周五却重挫至22000美元附近。以太坊急杀超8%,盘中跌幅一度扩大至10%。
有分析指出,7月下旬的美联储政策会议纪要的公布一定程度上提振了美元。同时,美联储提到了关于监管加密货币的必要性,因此这对一直以来游离在监管之外的加密货币市场来说,“好日子”可能快到头了。
近期,美联储官员齐声“放鹰”,在一定程度上对美元的波动也起到了助推作用。作为美联储最鹰派的政策制定者之一,圣路易斯联储主席James Bullard倾向于支持美联储在9月连续第三次升息75个基点。堪萨斯联储主席JEsther George表示不会停止收紧政策,除非"完全确定"过热的通胀正在下降。
现如今,华尔街金融大佬瞪大眼睛紧盯本周的央行杰克逊霍尔年会,这次会议或将使美国市场陷入新的动荡。
总结
美元作为国际货币在全球市场流通,对全球经济的负面外溢效应日益凸显。此外,加息、缩表等宏观因素已成为判断当前加密货币市场的重要考量因素,近期市场行情回落不少,这可能是资本审慎的体现。
来源:金色财经 |
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