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随着比特币跌至 21000 美元的关键阻力位空头又回来了
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比特币急剧下滑；在过去的几天里，它一直在稳步贬值。BTC 价格已逐渐跌破 200 周移动平均线至交易水平（WMA）。该代币的价值在上周下跌了 13.5% 以上，目前交易价格为 21200 美元。
BTC 熊又回来了
多头在前几周的出现导致 BTC 的价格飙升至 25200 以上。在负加密货币市场遭受重创之后，该价值在两个多月内保持在 BTC 的历史新高。然而本周的表现突然停止了价格的上涨趋势。
空头卷土重来，整个趋势发生了变化。
比特币的价格已经远离其高估的区域。此举导致本周从其直接阻力位回撤。值得注意的是鲸鱼和其他长期投资者会出售其所持股份。在这次快速抛售期间，BTC 下跌并在 23000 美元至 24000 美元之间交易。
随着比特币的价格下跌山寨币和其他加密货币的价格也暴跌。随着价格下跌趋势的加剧，整个加密货币市场一直处于红色，市场态度不利。
加密市场恐惧与贪婪指数在一周内从 47 跌至 30。
一旦抛售降低了 BTC 的价格多头可能会撤退。为了管理趋势模式，出现了空头。价格低于 23000 美元 200 周移动平均线 (WMA)。如果出现空头，价格可能会跌破 21000 美元。
比特币价格下跌观点
MVRV 7 天去趋势振荡器最近在 BTC 价格模式中显示出看跌背离流。这样的价格趋势预示着未来价格会下跌。因此比特币的价格仍有可能跌破 21000 美元至 20000 美元的区间。
美联储计划在未来几个月大幅提高利率，这对加密货币的趋势造成了致命打击。此外，巨大的抛售压力和外汇流入也是促成因素。
对于比特币当前的价格走势，将有助于提高200-WMA水平。
比特币多头误判美联储
在 6 月份以 17500 美元左右触底后比特币的价格上涨了近 45%，同时形成了一个上升楔形。
有趣的是比特币上涨的时间也恰好与投资者越来越相信通胀已经见顶以及美联储最早将于 2023 年 3 月开始降低利率的信念相对应。
美联储主席杰罗姆鲍威尔在 7 月 27 日的联邦公开市场委员会声明中提出了这一预期。鲍威尔：“随着货币政策立场进一步收紧，在我们评估我们的累积政策调整如何影响经济和通胀的同时，放慢加息步伐可能会变得合适。”
然而最近的美联储点状图显示，大多数专家认为利率将在 2023 年底上升至 3.75%，然后在 2024 年下降至 3.4%。因此利率下降的可能性仍然是假设的。
圣路易斯联邦储备银行总裁詹姆斯布拉德表示，他将在 9 月份的央行政策会议上支持连续第三次加息 75 个基点。美联储已承诺按照声明将通胀率从目前的 8.5% 降至 2%。
换句话说，当美联储在 3 月份开始积极的紧缩周期时进入熊市的比特币和其他风险资产的压力在可预见的未来应该会持续下去。
艰难的时期会带来真正的友谊，在熊市期间仍然在磨炼和学习的人，将长期留在这个行业和你一起渡过难关，牛熊。未来的A9大佬，想要加入或有疑惑的欢迎私信！
感谢阅读，喜欢的可以点个赞关注一下哦！ 来源：金色财经 |
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