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币世界余勋8月20号夜间解读 上升趋势破坏 长线思路不变 短线看1-2周走低位窄幅震荡
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比特币8月20号夜间行情解读
老规矩,现货忽视一切消息影响和振幅。坚定持有。
由于是周六原因,市场一般振幅较窄。
但整体仍属偏向下走势。
主要原因集中在两点,
前日“鹰派”大肆渲染强调,和对“经济”的衰退担忧。
导致市场普遍不看好,
其中大饼先跌为敬,美股三大股指创下6月以来,单日最大跌幅。
其中类似摩根机构,也通过数据发现大部分用户对涨势的持久性没有信心,也是近期市场突破比较艰难的原因。因大多处于观望状态。
技术面;
目前大饼仍失守于5-10日之下,短期指标肯定倾向于向下。接近吞没了近四周的涨幅!
昨日也提到过,由于鹰派突然激进发言,市场恐怕,有利空提前兑现,比如提前加息,或者延续75基点。
所以考虑到这几点,在市场没有跌透前,比如出现日线大幅度插针,或者连续的日线横盘,出现明显支撑。
追空,和直接接多,都存在一定风险性。
而且操作尽可能以短线为主。
因昨日判断过,这种情绪导致下的局面。
只有一种,缺乏多头配合,但下跌恐慌不够。形成低位窄幅震荡。
那操作上,短期可围绕箱体操作。
反弹空,(无持续性)低位以今日日线低点介入短多。
大饼可反弹至21550-21750高空,防守22000.
目标看齐20950附近。
低多可考虑在20850附近介入。
以太坊1600一线低多,1680-1700一线高空。
防守自定,利润以日内空间振幅为主。
各自两个百分比足矣!
前期由膨胀控制,激进看年底连续上涨,需暂告一段落。
在9月消息落地前,预估有近1-2周的低迷期。
造成高不成低不就的局面!
上涨缺乏动能和信心,下跌缺乏更大恐慌。
对于关余勋的币友,长线思路短期不会变。
但短线需严格跟紧思路,市场从来不会一成不变,波澜不惊。多了解时势,再从技术面入手。
来源:金色财经 |
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