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[虚拟币资讯]
三箭资本(3AC)流动性枯竭背后 清算指标对机构意味着什么
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每轮牛熊转换,都会有一些曾经为人熟知的机构、资本、项目离开视线,当市场规模越大,更替来得也愈加猛烈。例如市值前五的LUNA一夜归零,美国最大借贷平台Celsius也遭遇资不抵债不得不暂停提款。 ; u; s/ B3 P" b X; M3 A
从昨天开始,在一级与二级市场颇为活跃的三箭资本也发生了流动性危机,虽然尚不清楚创始人帖子的意图是什么,但这强化了3AC基金在经历了一段市场下跌后陷入困境的传言。机构们的实际情况不容乐观。
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' P7 O: A5 N6 V+ x6 f. P4 \7 ` 币价下跌、机构面临清算风险,在这个过程中我们不得不提到一个关键词——清算指标。 6 ^1 |" p5 i8 I$ p8 g/ p% P h
那么什么是清算、清算指标对机构意味着什么?
- s. ~2 S4 w7 J; I$ t' n 清算是一种资产处理方式,在加密货币领域,清算主要指交易者或者资产借贷人将初始保证金全部或部分强制平仓。当他们无法满足杠杆寸头的保证金要求时,就会发生这样的情况。 . |/ E# d F& w$ ]0 m4 s$ h' b
举个简单的例子: : p- `9 p' d" r5 K; g
比如ETH 2000美金的时候,使用MakerDAO存入100 ETH,理论上我可以借出200,000美金(Dai),但因为MakerDAO的设计机制需要超过150%的质押率(借1美元需要抵押1.5美金的ETH),所以我们最多只能借出100/1.5*2000≈133,333美金,而这时清算价格就是2000美金。
; n. s i3 G1 n6 h 也就是说如果ETH价格跌破2000美金,则ETH会被清算,相当于你用1333美金的价格购买了100个ETH(当然你也可以少借一些Dai,降低风险) % }7 J3 E. l4 K0 {
如果你想避免ETH在2000美金时被清算掉,要么在清算触发之前将133,333美金的Dai归还(再加上借贷的费用),要么就继续质押更多的ETH,降低清算线。 ; a5 F+ @. v2 E3 n5 d7 n9 F
简单理解就是首选抵押品的价值要大于贷款价值,当抵押品价格持续上涨的时候,你可以借出更多的钱,而当抵押品价格下跌的时候,则会不断增加抵押资产被清算的风险。如果想降低风险,则需要通过补仓降低清算风险,或提前平仓,避免强制平仓(清算)的出现。
6 z. c- S7 y. o4 E 其实DeFi质押借贷在数字货币市场每天都在产生,用户不希望出售手中资产,将资产抵押给协议平台,换取目标资产,进行二次投资,这本身是一种杠杆行为,而此次三箭资本的危机也主要由这种杠杆加杠杆的操作造成。 8 a1 R" v( b# {9 q% E3 s' Z( f5 b* \
在过去的牛市中,三箭资本是最活跃的资本群体之一。在Deribit、BlockFi等借贷平台上的总清算额度高达4亿美元。 / U$ t; m6 D' V! l( p& L
目前,整个加密社区都在密切关注三箭资本钱包(超过2.2亿美元),该钱包在Aave上抵押了超过211,000 ETH。如果ETH价格跌至1,014-1,016美元,这笔金额将被清算。 6 s' z) d9 Y6 F' _0 T8 c2 H6 b: A
三箭曾作为Luna的主要背书机构,在UST崩盘期间也遭受了巨大的损失,而过去一个月Bitfinex的亏损排行里三箭也一直榜上有名。此次stETH脱锚和抛售中,三箭的「活跃程度」更是远超Celsius,为了还债大量抛售stETH。
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必查客预警
+ _' I- N- S# A% @& U5 m7 \0 _& H4 R 在加密货币世界,流动性是少部分资产在高频交易里建立起来的,杠杆必然存在。而借贷等Defi所提供的收益也都是在不断提升杠杆率,这些杠杆在币价上行的过程里,表现出的是高收益率,而币价下行的过程里,借贷可能会触及清算价格,而清算后还会产生连环效应。
4 }; @, D6 @6 V* h& L7 t 例如有些机构或者大户,在某一天可能出现特别高或集中的质押借贷行为,当ETH在1200美金时,市场会清算100万个ETH。这些清算的ETH会被清算人以折扣价格买入,并在市场卖掉赚取价差。这种大量清算事件可以简单理解为是一种「砸盘」的行为,从而引发进一步清算。
% u! r8 V& y' o( s( B4 Z4 ]; M0 C0 t8 v 当在上行趋势或者稳定趋势里重仓的资本开始面对下行和连环效应时,就会出现三箭资本现在面临的状况。 2 S. h f2 s; O( Z" m- x9 A3 B$ s; U
如果三箭无法支撑,必然会对市场造成短时的影响和无法预测的长期影响。
+ w7 L1 j4 j! z来源:金色财经 |
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