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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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8 l6 T' f, ^- ?* t( ~有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。
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0 m' d' Z7 y- }! k& V这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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! e8 w% }3 r' f6 E为什么？
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。. W, j- T* Y3 O3 }
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。* f4 d$ E; R* K( v& O) n2 }
假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。1 L* I, |$ H' y% e+ I
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4- X: W1 N% C" _2 Q+ Q% A
第一把输，你没有了。4 ~8 i+ h2 A4 m$ i2 B. X
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。
% S2 Y; y% [. p+ c: \ K 第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。, p3 S2 j4 n& q, l' F! J
…………无限下去。
/ m; v- [2 W6 |清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。* Q& x" |* ]; r ?7 g
( V0 ]( l+ a4 r8 r8 T5 `% H为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？( I1 ?: N2 B" ]2 _2 J* X# ~" H
6 D; t2 I6 i) @1 |- Q1、我觉得可以打偏差。* d$ h" w# `; V, q' \
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。$ w: Q& d, P; K: b
2 u* F$ i9 a/ r: z7 g# V/ F% [但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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