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本帖为抢楼帖，欢迎抢楼!
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几率这个总是平等的 但是还是这次出了，下次粗的概率就是会小了很多 |
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0 H* @# x. {4 g: n6 M# Q8 c有时候靠几率也是会害死人的 |
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1/2概率游戏在理论上讲输赢都应该是50对50，输赢各半的结果，但是玩起来却明显不是那回事。9 l |$ T- l5 S2 J; P2 k
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这个我来告诉你吧。。50对50，输赢是对半，但是我们真正玩起来，许许多多的人却感觉是输的多。。
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为什么？2 I* b5 l& q+ l) }0 L, J' B( ?
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1、因为下注的次数太多了（任何人都逃不过5050）。如果只玩一把肯定是5050。+ l( q8 O" v, ]
2、因为资金问题。如果资金一样，也可能是5050。
! f3 U F2 ^7 k+ } 假如你只有最后一个码了，而你打的是平注。。每一把输赢都是50比50。 v. ?' t& u% A" f# ^7 B, A# C
第一把赢，你有两个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/4
7 X3 O8 {" X6 x' L/ S$ ]: r 第一把输，你没有了。2 r2 D' s8 S6 k
第二把赢，你有三个码，平注，无限继续下去的话，你输光的概率是1/8。8 q8 E; Y/ H3 ~/ {4 l6 g8 j+ h! |
第二把输赢，你还可以继续。。1 S+ f/ A' j/ w4 m* v4 g
…………无限下去。( @2 G& d! A$ a: V7 F1 o4 j2 c
清袋的概念，不是50比50。。而是1/2+1/4+1/8+1/16+1/32……
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5 u/ w$ P/ C# B+ ^; p6 @+ @是多少你自己算吧。。这还不算抽水呢。。
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这就是总是输的原因。。3 _- E, q7 T3 o; Q
; n* G- R- z* Q, P为什么我还要继续玩下去呢？？, y/ R4 {/ u7 v! s( [
) m" [ e. L( V, d: C; X. A# |" i1、我觉得可以打偏差。* u! X# F' S5 c& h- [
2、存送1%，返水1%，加上我只想取入场的1%。我觉得我应该就是DC。。" S% t& a g! N
$ ^, L* O, [+ m% s/ S但是，这，，，只是理论，实践考虑的因素更多。。
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! E' ]' g9 J- B4 ~' g人的心态不可控，人的行为不可控，人的习惯不可控。。 |
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大家说的50对50指的是每次下注时的选择，所以我们每次下注都要做一次选择，运气不好的话，就会连续选择错误，也就是连黑了 |
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5050 的说法是不对的，在正常的不作弊的情况下，庄家还有抽水的比例呀。 |
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菠菜的公平之处在于机率各占一半，庄家之所以占优当然是因为抽水了，反复的抽水导致玩家大部分都输钱。 |
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