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开贴讨论罗马尼亚这场比赛，就当长夜漫漫胡侃乱聊了！
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粗略的看了一下这场比赛的盘口和基本资料，因为友谊赛基本不碰，这里有点初步的想法，这里就抛砖引玉了！
& Z0 t1 L5 Z9 s+ n |6 n9 E& s& w0 ~) c2 A7 I& w2 `
从友谊赛的情况来看，虽然两队的成绩都很烂，但是罗马尼亚比洪都拉斯更烂，虽然罗马尼亚的国际排名要高于洪都拉斯很多，但是对友谊赛来说，这个排名并不能证明什么，国足不刚刚赢了法兰西吗？$ F; x3 h1 U) E0 W) h8 Z4 W6 i5 p" Y
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看看盘口' j3 `. z* p, Z+ `
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0 c6 V$ j% L) r- y- B! i澳门初盘就是半球盘，立博初盘是半球，后来降到平半盘，其他公司基本都是初盘半球，后来降盘到平半盘。# g1 a9 S, ~6 |0 l- `$ T( L
降盘的意图无非就是不看好上盘或者是诱下盘
$ g" g1 @# ^3 [9 p6 U9 t分开来说：: j9 S$ H3 Y: r3 A! O7 n! _: v1 K
1.不看好上盘
! K5 W% e! M) ~9 T4 J4 m# n判断庄家是不是真的不看好上盘，可以从大众心理来入手，两队的状态都很烂，但是罗马尼亚更烂，即使实力和排名都强于客队，在大众心理上来说上下盘的筹码差别应该不会太大，这种情况下，庄家如果真的是不看好上盘，降盘的情况下，一定会将部分筹码赶往下盘。那么我真的不看好上盘，我把筹码赶到下盘做什么？5 O8 n* @3 w1 m6 B' F
2.诱下盘
* t& o" ` \7 o a4 V2 i) X诱下盘，也就是说实际上是看好上盘的，这种情况下如上述第一点所说，筹码会倾向于下盘，达到了诱的目的。1 H0 k; J( `4 `- f- d4 ^
+ L5 W% e3 I& f经过上述分析，判断庄家是在诱下盘。& |6 q( o) Z/ }0 r" }" X. Q& E0 s
这里还有一个特殊就是澳门，目前还维持在半球盘不动。后续观察吧！
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1 r; f7 c; i0 h1 R$ V0 b+ K; v以上纯属个人观点，欢迎大家拍砖！ |
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个人看好洪都拉斯,洪都拉斯希望世界杯前开个门红,而罗马尼亚没有欲望 |
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[b]回复 [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148043&ptid=58999]2#[/url] [i]dodoken2[/i] [/b]7 c: ]5 |# N" E; t! @& u3 Y( n- U
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还有5天就开幕了，也许保存实力避免受伤是球队的一种选择！ |
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其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降( D, H& q7 V3 v0 r; Q2 m
$ X1 @0 T' }6 |: s2 d我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘 |
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[quote]其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降" V- s8 R( q$ d$ X7 }0 F
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我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘$ z0 r& R1 u2 X$ K* z% I+ T
[size=2][color=#999999]dodoken2 发表于 2010-6-6 00:28[/color] [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148064&ptid=58999]http://www.tcelue.com/images/common/back.gif[/url][/size][/quote]
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( A! l; ~2 c# L( R8 L! b- e 欧赔比较弱，可不可以理解为欧赔的胜和平在降也是一种诱？ |
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