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权力重构前夜：达沃斯的ZZ信号与加密圈的行业坚守（转）
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世界经济论坛召开之际，科技、政策、国家竞争力与金融基础设施正处于相互交织碰撞的关键时期。此次亮相将是特朗普 6 年来首次亲临达沃斯，与此同时，主办方表示，本届论坛的美国参会规模创下历史之最，参会人员包括美国内阁高级官员及大型美国企业代表团。 今年，达沃斯还将迎来美国馆的正式回归。这一以美国为核心的实体场所，将成为美国在当地开展政策讨论与商业交流的重要据点。我很荣幸能受邀今年在美国馆发表演讲。此举充分表明，美国ZF与美国企业均高度重视 2026 年达沃斯论坛，将其视为施展影响力、交流核心观点的重要平台。 值得关注的是，在达沃斯论坛召开前夕，加密货币领域最具影响力的高管之一、Coinbase 首席执行官布莱恩・阿姆斯特朗（Brian Armstrong），拒绝支持一项拟议中的加密货币法案 —— 尽管今年政界对推动该法案通过抱有广泛兴趣。这两件事共同揭示，权力、政策、科技与加密货币之间的互动模式正发生深刻转变。 特朗普试图将达沃斯从「理念探讨」升级为「制度构建」我曾多次参加达沃斯论坛，今年的论坛在基调与实质内容上都给人截然不同的感受。随着各国元首、内阁官员及数百位企业首席执行官的出席，论坛的核心议题已转向基础设施层面的决策制定。本届论坛预计将吸引来自 130 个国家的约 3000 名参与者，其中ZZ领袖与企业首席执行官的人数将创下历史纪录。 人工智能领域的变化尤为显著。下周，达沃斯「人工智能之家」的议程设置便充分体现了这一转变 —— 会议将人工智能定位为「共享基础设施」，围绕「权力与责任」「大规模治理」以及「智能系统应如何增强而非取代人类决策」等核心议题展开讨论。 如今，人工智能已不再被视为「新兴技术」，而是与能源、供应链、国家竞争力同等重要的基础设施。从「智能体人工智能馆」的议题设置来看，随着智能技术从「工具层面」向「决策系统层面」延伸，自主人工智能智能体引发的「信任、问责与管控」等治理问题将成为讨论焦点。如今，政策制定者对「算力与人工智能获取权」的讨论热度，堪比过去对「石油资源」的关注。 企业高管们的讨论则聚焦于「如何为不同经济时代建立的组织筑牢未来根基」。在这一背景下，「系统耐用性」的重要性远超「发展速度」，核心问题已转变为「哪些系统在十年后仍能保持关键作用」。 数字金融领域亦适用「系统思维」这种「系统思维」正越来越多地渗透到数字金融领域。 如今，稳定币每日结算的交易额已达数十亿美元，尤其在跨境支付与资金管理业务中应用广泛。与此同时，「代币化」正悄然向资本市场渗透，覆盖范围从基金产品延伸至各类现实世界资产。 加密货币已从「试验阶段」正式迈入「金融基础设施领域」。2025 年，达沃斯 Web3 中心签署了《Web3 达沃斯宣言》，明确支持「负责任创新、可持续发展、问责制与信任」四大核心原则，并将在 2026 年进一步强化这一理念的传播与落地。
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