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[lastpost] => 2756447 美国7月CPI引爆市场 以太坊再度拉升逼近4,400美元-转 1755617988 爬格子的瘦书生
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 101 小时
本月在线: 12 小时
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周线级别：自2022年低点15443至2025年8月高点124545，涨幅为706%，2025年4月低点75457至8月高点124545，涨幅67%；相比较ETH，ETH从4月低点1384上涨至4784，主升浪上涨246%，BTC涨幅远不及ETH。从波浪理论分析，BTC自2024年9月开始走的是周线级别第五浪，但是以终结倾斜三角形代替推动浪主升浪，对BTC近半年走势我个人偏悲观，因为一旦这个形态确认，通常是短期见顶信号。未来BTC可能124545就是本轮上涨终点，也可能上涨至倾斜三角形上沿131000-133000附近或翻越上沿见顶，一切都得看后续行情发展，主要参考标的就是未来一个月甚至两个月成交量及基本面，若成交量基本面配合就能再往上冲击13000见顶，若基本面恶化可能会五浪衰竭到不了上沿压力位。BTC周线图
4 W: h$ S8 U/ E, l5 ~' m, G7 A日线级别：2025年4月至5月一波主升浪，自74578反弹至111959高点，然后开始长达45天旗形整理，7月突破120000平台上涨至123300，涨幅远不及预期；7月15至8月11日继续旗形整理，虽然是看涨旗形形态，但是8月12日借助ETH节节攀升之际，短暂突破前高后快速回落，总之日线级别走的很纠结。日线级别目前走势像扩散三角形形态，支撑位关注点60日均线114180，12日均线108500；附图MACD0轴上方死叉，若后期BTC下跌MACD穿越0轴向下，那么下方空间将会打开，支撑位周线级别通道下沿（大概107000左右）及扩散三角形下沿。
8 `- v7 J0 t9 T& N5 S% H' H; DBTC日线% x2 j' l: q; y4 a* P' B+ F4 R% \
因为日线级别扩散形态，操作起来盈亏比不合算，波动空间大，只能短线操作。大周期操作思路：稳建操作就必须等终结倾斜三角形破位，走完5浪调整，大概位置在104000-108000附近，一旦跌破倾斜三角形下沿，未来空间可期，目标暂时75000附近。
V I' Y' |# Q1 ^6 k4 ~$ {3 E \日内短线的话，看图说话
3 N1 o+ C1 [1 }/ J+ K# ^4 d% v" rBTC4H F' \; a& h% _8 t7 r: g( U* m
日内突破昨日低点114600一线下探至114300一线获得短线支撑，附图MACD KDJ RSI也有短线反弹需求，若回调至114500-114600附近，可以介入多单，止损设置113500，上方压力位116800 118200。$ v1 B) q. }1 H6 |
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
策小分:
总在线: 101 小时
本月在线: 12 小时
|
|
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这波BTC行情，看起来有点飘啊，得继续留意成交量和基本面走势。 |
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