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[虚拟币交流]
比特币与纳斯达克指数高度相关 科技泡沫正在形成还是健康上涨-转
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经济学家亨里克·泽伯格（Henrik Zeberg）在最近的一份分析中，对比特币（BTC）的未来表达了担忧，称其为“一种高度风险资产”，而非独特的投资机会。泽伯格指出，比特币的价格波动与纳斯达克指数走势高度相关，暗示两者都是他所称的“科技泡沫2”（TechBubble2）这一正在形成的现象的一部分。 * W3 g6 ^! s8 x0 w, L; x4 V
1 k4 n0 O& y. d称比特币不是例外 也是属于风险资产该言论反映了他认为当前市场状况类似于以往的科技泡沫，而这些泡沫最终都导致了大幅崩盘。根据泽伯格的观点，纳斯达克的下跌可能对比特币产生严重影响，甚至引发其价值的显著下跌。 泽伯格在社交平台X上提醒投资者警惕“泡沫狂热”，这种情绪常伴随着投机性市场。他表示，这种狂热可能会影响判断力，导致许多人忽视投资比特币的风险。 6 z$ Z7 R3 `% K# Z# f- W! Q
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巴菲特指标高于互联网泡沫时期水平“比特币与纳斯达克的关系非常简单，随着科技板块面临挑战，比特币也会受到影响。投资者必须为市场调整的可能性做好准备。” 泽伯格认为纳斯达克正处于泡沫之中，这一观点得到了许多专家的呼应，他们引用了“巴菲特指标”——市值与GDP的比率，目前约为170%，远高于互联网泡沫时期的水平。这表明股票相对于经济规模可能被严重高估。 技术分析师也指出了市场中的“警示信号”，比如主要指数出现的顶部扩散形态，这种形态预示波动性增加和潜在的显著下跌。
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这次不一样？一些专家反驳了“泡沫论“看法，认为当前市场条件与以往泡沫不同，企业基本面稳健。他们指出，企业利润率高，资产负债表健康。 与此同时，泽伯格的分析显示，比特币和科技股的市场高点可能与即将到来的经济衰退同步。随着经济环境变化，市场崩盘的风险增加，这让许多可能措手不及的投资者敲响了警钟。 “理解更广泛的经济背景对做出明智的投资决策至关重要，投资者不应只被比特币的吸引力所迷惑，也要考虑其伴随的风险”，泽伯格说。
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