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[虚拟币交流]
比特币触底暴涨？山寨腰斩，跌到底了！抄底黄金坑，错过再等4年！ （转）
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昨晚BTC两次回踩下降趋势线，均是一碰就弹，过去一个月BTC深度连续震荡探底势，逼多已经到了一定程度。今天的反弹BTC的主力数据虽然是流出的，9 U' Q1 \5 W% R! j2 }
但短线无论如何得有一波反抽修复一下指标了，在触底93321后，目前已经反弹了 3000刀 +的空间！& j) d. [1 K5 `- j- c& w2 m
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# F- Y( j2 a% r" g+ M+ n( A6 h# }在没有大的利空条件下，BTC大概率通过区间震荡来完成这轮调整。 震荡的区间在9万到10.8之间，这个位置磨的时间越长，后续越难跌下去。所以
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; E! v4 I, X3 a3 n9 U1 E+ V0 C% x Y短期偏向会有一波反弹行情，大家见好就收，不要格局，只做波段。2月22-24日可能会见底，耐心等待几天。
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; o/ Y# B6 f% X R# V: S一段行情就做一段的事情，不要用“牛市 ”去锚定一段行情。: k* s0 P% D5 t! s* i1 W$ }
+ @3 i" L+ p: Q0 f我对于今年后市的行情也挺看好，价格是循环的，跌多了 跌到跌无可跌了就会涨，前提是你在那个时候还有满仓的U去选择抄底的标的，而不是“牛市”还在， m; ~& M0 I2 O# f; |
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一定能来，但是自己的仓位被套了50%，翻倍才回本。# Z9 r1 s# ~# U8 W. o- `( ~
" ]/ ]- X: u P6 ~/ \* Q/ p山寨有正在触底的迹象，很多板块洗盘的深度都差不多了，比如以太坊、SOL、MEME和AI这些比较热门的板块都有长时间的深度调整。就拿比较强势的PEPE，4 E( z& N2 _% X K# M5 [8 G
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在2月3号那天也从最高点，回调了72％，以太坊2月3号最低到2125.01，从高点回调了49％。SOL在2月9号继续跌破，洗到160.88，回调了45％。还有bgb从最) F N$ H' K- w" ?: P
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高点跌到4.515，也回调了48％。/ b6 w7 n! l$ e8 Q3 s3 j7 g! V+ ^
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目前最担心的是比特币继续下跌，甚至插针跌破8万9，其他又得跌的一塌糊涂………现在市场就是靠比特币来操控盘面，之前最后一跌往往是通过砸比特币
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- P Q: }1 i1 Z来洗出山寨的恐慌盘，让大家割肉离场。但市场留给空头的时间窗口不多了。要真是3月份还继续大跌，连着3~4个月都大跌。这个市场还有人玩吗？真的是) Z+ V& q5 n C5 n
6 C5 W& h, z6 A. P离了个大谱，那后面就只剩疯狂上涨了。' m: L/ Z( h$ `& I4 i
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总的来说短期偏向比特币会有一波反弹行情，对流动性释放利好最多的是下半年，降息重启、稳定币法案落地、以太坊质押合规等应该会接踵而至。我认为下
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9 Q d) K/ X. g半年将会看到二级山寨爆发，接下来开始找好标的布局，这轮周期的真正高潮应该快到了。在这波来临时前，选择以下山寨建仓：
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1、MSTR、SMLR等跟随BTC趋势走的美股，算溢价率。
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2、BTC带着ETH涨，同时ETH的叙事炒作，带着大多数二级山寨涨，因为流动性不够，资金炒作赛道少，所以要选热门赛道。还有ETH生态。" V0 r, H; w! @' B% W! ^7 s( r9 P
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3、SOL涨带动链上MEME，不管是AI 概念还是名人效应。还有SOL生态7 K V0 V" f/ _3 `
4 Z6 H2 p; |2 E1 |* u% f, |4、平台币，BNB、GT、BGB等等，平台打新、挖矿。
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5、其他美系炒作ETF的，比如LTC、XRP、DOGE" i S+ b* O. o
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