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[lastpost] => 2796962 美参议员提交逾130项修正案,稳定币收益与DeFi成焦点(转) 1768357872 sunnyclare001
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1. 宏观因素影响市场走势
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: Y5 M+ [. E5 ?- b: d9 G过去一周市场涨跌主要受宏观经济数据影响,包括美国未来的降息预期、上周的非农数据和失业率,以及本周即将公布的PPI与CPI数据。0 q0 E: O' D! S7 o
9 M2 o$ O! i: z6 a, YPPI助推反弹:昨晚公布的PPI数据低于市场预期,被认为是近期少见的利好消息。PPI同比上涨3.3%(预期3.5%),核心PPI同比上涨3.5%(预期3.8%),这让市场信心得到了一定恢复。
4 f d) G4 `" x- |8 V1 F9 H. Z/ z9 F" w) a1 k: W7 D
CPI才是关键:今晚的CPI数据更为重要,市场预期CPI同比为2.9%(前值2.7%),核心CPI预期为3.3%。如果数据能保持在预期或持平的水平,大饼(比特币)可能重回10万美元上方,并延续市场的炒作行情。+ t, i$ u" g- W" i: z
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2. 比特币市场现状与未来预期; S M# z" a# {, v: D' e; d
: V$ Z2 H: S% @1 {9 F# l0 Q) G当前持仓成本:
$ t; d, ^/ O0 i9 E7 h. V
7 v( m% \3 Y' G/ c机构的平均持仓成本在8.1万美元左右;
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- o5 g( z. c6 R, r5 }微策略因早期进场,平均成本约为6.2万美元;' ^3 q# _% p: }3 {
) a/ p. w8 k: f+ @6 j5 X4 _6 y" \ETF持仓成本约在7万美元上下。
% ]5 P! H" {* q% U% m
" ~& g1 @7 s; v' x比特币价值回归:
9 y8 |. h$ W) B; b# v8 I8 G- J
# W @* Y' E9 P2 J4 y4 _; d$ R市场大部分散户的低价筹码已经交割完毕,当前持币主力成本价在6-8万美元区间。8 ^, V o5 v( @: t9 X0 B J% l
% c/ Q3 S5 _1 Z" ~& n' R- n' u随着更多公司和国家效仿萨尔瓦多将比特币纳入战略储备,比特币的流通将越来越少,机构预测其价格有望达到15万甚至20万美元。# X4 e' _ x( I
4 H8 p& x- v) @
加密资产的国家效应:萨尔瓦多因比特币政策而成为中美洲金融科技中心,吸引了像Tether这样的大型加密公司入驻。2 k6 R+ z5 k% j+ d
+ O) ^" |/ i- c ^+ c0 v% w3. 市场热点与反弹情况7 `4 G+ f, c$ f, a% F6 }& ]
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ETH:# w/ I# g5 q" A) f. O9 m% @
! i* j- p: W$ F" t虽然受到大量抛售的质疑,但以太坊价格总体稳定,汇率回升至0.033。
4 y9 |4 k& {1 [# y2 X0 B1 l9 K: O+ p* j' H8 X
机构普遍认为以太坊本轮高点或达到1万美元。1 |- R! b, H$ L
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尽管ETF持续外流且贝莱德带头抛售,比特币依然维持强势。1 I0 C5 ^: H, U* ^
9 O0 H4 B4 n) f
如果今晚CPI数据利好,突破10万美元可能性极大。
0 O, O; ?0 ]3 }; i/ t' \, j+ J2 Q' u$ r( I+ S; U% Q3 E! h- @
SOL与XRP:
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, ]( d0 i$ b/ K6 W5 x6 tSOL走势强劲,被认为是AI生态的主导者。摩根大通预计SOL与XRP的ETF即将推出,或吸引150亿美元资金入场。1 G' R4 x7 J6 @* i4 s/ i4 r: ~
/ S1 A/ z% l, ZXRP走势超强,多次占据韩所榜首,有市场声音预测其价格达到10美元、市值超越以太坊。+ s, h) o8 g6 P( R8 y) u
$ w, H. K, p9 ?其他热点项目: o- A, g) W% } j; ]
3 |/ e9 v4 ]$ c& }" H: e: p涉及ETF或政策的项目如$hbar、$algo、$ada等走势同样强劲。! z. m% j; @: ]1 U8 T) D' |4 t
0 k9 \: G7 D2 b: v( g1 H' H山寨市场近期普遍上涨,市场预计Q1可能迎来牛市爆发。* j2 H7 i7 `) i. `' @6 U) n# P% l
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4. AI赛道与新兴项目
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AI领域表现突出,板块总市值达160亿美元,近期涨幅明显。
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' o* X: c3 }; \8 k: f蓝筹项目:如$ai16z、$virtual和$aixbt等市值迅速攀升,部分实现翻倍增长。
- [" ?6 F0 i, [- ` s8 t1 ]( e
7 z4 }7 a- R( U X/ q; ^新兴项目:正经团队推出的AI项目表现稳健,例如$mates和$sora已获得市场认可。5 M8 h: Z) q; i4 z8 h3 d
: C: S R/ M6 N% ^市场展望8 Y* S( J8 h8 Y
( @/ n. v. o/ {/ ?
随着宏观经济环境和政策明朗,加密市场有望迎来更多利好。山寨牛市或在第一季度爆发,AI、主流币、以及新兴应用赛道将继续成为市场焦点。3 q- C- F4 w0 D( B5 Q* ~
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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