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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就" O4 M, c6 m$ |1 {) m! F& d5 r
! s: z9 E% v0 e+ m+ o
突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
T" J5 ]) i/ e. V" r, O* b* q* c' r7 _
matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴# O5 s9 ^: d" X& m% P: L
* {6 {$ I, V/ p
忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
) n' P5 x" m6 X( P4 |1 ~0 |6 h# p- u9 p
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
4 h& H; r8 c! K' ^+ _+ ]# w
5 M# C5 k7 Z% | D4 C期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
4 e4 f" c$ R' V3 @' X2 gETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道
+ u4 z" i( S2 O" H
: A! G2 P* Z8 [/ z消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
# U" `6 ?$ B) f4 p6 I1 r3 ?3 t/ i3 I% G1 [6 {2 [ ?; w
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。; \0 W/ R7 a2 H+ h n9 F
5 [6 Y. v. g" j另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货( Q) x; F3 o" d$ |) I
A# U2 G. j* L& I y f: Q [ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
" b+ L$ g1 b+ V( r1 X% {7 D0 ^: J- H$ }, A% O" g r$ X$ b$ _" Y2 j
期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，
1 R% ?; B/ k& \, | P2 n0 F
2 s* Z9 E' Q/ Y) s8 ?& M负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
& P5 l8 c+ M- I: {# [% k( ?. D% c
( X' b0 C, _% ]% Q' v
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