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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
: U. M! d! L1 I! X; |0 C4 U5 K! m$ s, O至少有以下几个原因：
$ N0 {1 |* @2 m2 @, Z+ ]- b8 F6 w! Y' z
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
8 M8 x! I% ~3 F, e8 C" k. V' Z
9 h: @+ d5 r# V+ f& C在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
! t8 X3 O+ N& }. R2 m9 n0 {
4 \' R; U' O. ^6 _0 k( g机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案2 U# i4 I8 O! s- R) f* O
' n8 d& ^# @$ ]7 J- T+ G( F
出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到' l. X# ] S3 W2 j" E
& V; f: \/ B4 |2 J7 z325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数$ ~9 t- \9 I- y0 K: k& I( Y( U
! K: I! d7 }6 j' K& K据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有+ H; k) ] K I# o, E
/ I& ^2 U4 C9 S; K1 e& @
达到200亿美金）
4 t. b% g8 o4 ]( J3 w: b: C, D& _! D( k- b4 @: ]
2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊
# F5 k" r9 R+ Y, y0 s1 x: M! W7 D
" j1 N% I( A0 y" d4 G8 G更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化
8 A* a# r4 ~( k6 l2 N5 \
7 E8 p4 ]9 d- `% S的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。& J/ f" Q" Q' Y2 C
( ^# C& [; C ~/ K
3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大0 X% @2 R2 H. W1 K. g' f
6 H. K/ x* a8 x# H0 U4 h5 R
资金的信任和青睐。
# W; k4 U" m$ r/ E5 l3 U9 Q `! A/ t# y/ p1 a F2 k
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美
: l( U5 l4 L" i* L0 J1 ]% x% e# M: N5 L- t" ]
金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入
7 u+ y- Q! \! `( Q* B
9 C& N2 K [6 V" U: }6 M$ j比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。, [$ b5 w" M M7 J( h! o" t
$ g/ c. L6 Y' w
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