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在经历了动荡的一年之后,比特币和以太坊的价格正在上涨。但一些专家还没有准备好说投资者对最近的价格波动很清楚。
两种最大的加密货币仍较去年底的历史高点下跌了 50% 以上。然而,以典型的方式,加密市场在 7 月份显着反弹,自6 月份市场崩盘以来,比特币价格上涨了 30% 以上,以太坊价格上涨了 70%。这是否会向投资者表明比特币和以太坊已经通过了本周期的最低价格点?
在新的通胀数据发布后,截至周三,比特币价格接近 24,000 美元,以太坊价格攀升至 1,800 美元以上。通胀从7 月份的历史高位略有回落,这反过来又导致股票和加密市场反弹。以太坊价格飙升 8%,比特币价格在过去 24 小时内上涨近 4%。
但一些专家仍对近期价格上涨可能意味着什么长期持怀疑态度。
数字资产经纪商 GlobalBlock 的市场分析师 Marcus Sotiriou 表示:“美联储确实仍在收紧,通胀率仍然很高,因此我们目前无法相信市场会出现逆转。” “但事实上[美联储主席]杰罗姆鲍威尔已经开始说加息已经产生了明显的影响,这向我表明我们正处于熊市的后期阶段,我们已经进入了大约八个月。”
比特币和以太坊价格触底了吗?
几周来,比特币和以太坊已经获得了积极的势头。虽然比特币和以太坊价格的飙升令人印象深刻,但加密货币与股市的联系可能是未来波动的迹象。
经纪公司 Tastyworks 的首席执行官 Scott Sheridan 表示,股市在 7 月份出现了自 2020 年以来的最佳表现,并在 8 月份继续显示上涨,因此你可以说加密货币目前正从股市上涨中受益。通过同样的衡量标准,如果股票再次走弱,那么加密货币可能会紧随其后。
“我认为,如果你开始看到市场放弃最近的一些涨幅,你可能会在加密货币中看到类似的东西,”Sheridan 说。
加密教育家和市场分析师Wendy O也不相信比特币和以太坊已经达到了本周期的最低价格。O 表示,市场将在熊市后期看到“真正的投降”,她认为这将持续一到两年。投降是投资者对价格前景失去信心的时刻,即使价格已经下跌。根据 O.

技术图表显示比特币的价格历史同比以及明年比特币可能下跌多低。

技术图表显示了以太币的价格历史同比以及明年以太币可能会下跌多低。(由温迪 O 提供)。
尽管无法确定地预测加密货币价格,但 O 表示有迹象表明比特币和以太坊回落至 6 月份的低点 17,500 美元和 900 美元以上。持续的经济和政治不确定性可能会在接下来的几周或几个月内造成市场更大的波动。
“在之前的熊市周期中,两种加密货币都修正了 85%,”O 说。“我预计比特币将达到 10,000 美元,以太坊将达到 750 美元。”
在持续波动的情况下,加密货币投资者应该做什么
在加密投资方面,唯一可以保证的是波动性。大约一年前,比特币的价格曾一度高达 68,000 美元,而现在又回落至 25,000 美元以下。
这些持续的波动很好地提醒我们,并非每个人都对加密货币具有风险承受能力。如果您对加密货币感到好奇,请记住,投资加密货币风险极高,您应该只将投资组合的5% 分配给加密资产。即使这样,也只有在您具有高风险承受能力的情况下才这样做。不能保证你会赚钱——甚至不能保证你能拿回你投入加密市场的任何钱。
只投资您可以承受的损失,并且只有在您的其他财务优先事项井然有序之后——例如为紧急情况储蓄、偿还高息债务以及为传统的退休计划做出贡献。
今年到目前为止,比特币和以太坊的波动显示了加密投资者面临的极端波动。如果你对投资加密货币感兴趣,或者你已经在比特币上投入了一些钱,专家建议不要对短期波动感到恐慌,而是关注长期增长潜力。
来源:金色财经 |
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