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AC米兰vs拉齐奥解读：擅打揭幕战 红黑军开门红
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北京时间9月10日星期六凌晨2点45分，2011/2012意大利足球甲级联赛将迎来新赛季揭幕战，卫冕冠军AC米兰将坐镇圣西罗球场迎战拉齐奥。6 t) B; j+ t0 K. v9 o! G
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Bet365：1.66 3.60 5.50
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# z- |# @2 E) ` R* ~SNAI：1.60 3.50 5.75
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威廉希尔：1.61 3.60 6.00, @+ v9 z5 r; h! }, l$ s9 d; N
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相比欧平1.62-3.47-5.51，Bet365主胜略高，SNAI、威廉希尔主胜都与欧平相近，平赔方面三家公司则都在欧平之上。值得一提的是威廉希尔的赔率，1.61-3.60-6.00组合下的历史数据是主队4战全胜。' G. _' | i% [/ [+ D, R& `8 A7 l
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0 ]; t7 g9 \! k* E' U: x' A/ V) [澳彩：0.84 半球/一球 1.02( p9 l. _ m3 z: ]% Z
2 {& |0 i" I# x) i% {' J立博：0.88 半球/一球 0.98
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5 O/ L' _" K5 P# C3 X0 L+ c! I \金宝博：0.88 半球/一球 1.05
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8 l. S' h1 P; MAC米兰此役主场需做出半球/一球的让步，相比较两队以往交锋数据，AC米兰此番让步幅度略为偏小，总体感觉是可胜不稳。但就盘路而言，AC米兰近期一直延续着输赢输赢这样的跳变走势，上周热身赛赢球输盘后，红黑军团本场盘路快速反弹几率不小。
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交锋往绩3 q% K. M I5 |" i
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两队近42次交锋AC米兰19胜18平5负占据上风，其中主场22次交锋12胜9平1负优势更为明显。不过需要提醒的是，两队最近3次交锋，拉齐奥都成功逼平对手，上赛季两队在圣西罗就0比0闷平收场。
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5 a% r6 @% a- D1 Z, i5 ~ F综合分析
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由于意甲停摆延续了正常赛程，AC米兰vs拉齐奥的次轮赛事成为了新赛季意甲的揭幕战。卫冕冠军AC米兰今夏并未对阵容进行太大调整，只是在个别位置上进行小修小补。本场比赛，塔伊沃和梅克斯两名新援都将因伤缺席，同样高挂免战牌的还有范博梅尔、弗拉米尼和罗比尼奥三员大将，AC米兰赛季初期就遭遇了不小的伤病危机。相对而言，拉齐奥的伤停情况要乐观点，只有斯坦科维休斯、斯库利和马切蒂三人缺席，今夏加盟的克洛泽与西塞都可披挂上阵。
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& @/ G& N0 R! a# P: B3 }5 e回顾2011年，AC米兰联赛仅仅在做客西西里岛的时候输过给巴勒莫，其余比赛都保持不败。另一项更值得红黑军团引以为豪的数据是，他们过去28个赛季打联赛揭幕战，也仅仅输过1次。结合两队的交锋往绩，拉齐奥此役做客想连续第4度逼平米兰，难度颇大。本场不论是欧赔抑或亚指，都倾向于AC米兰主场取得开门红，预计比分2-1或3-1。 |
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