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[虚拟币交流]
比特币BTC再次突破 87,000 美元——以下是分析师对其价格的预测（转）
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比特币[BTC]在复活节反弹期间回升至8.7万美元，专家认为这与美元走弱有关。VanEck数字资产研究主管Mathew Sigel在最近的一份
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报告中特别强调了这一论断。
" q2 d! O. s/ r- J$ [5 j8 c美元抛售推高比特币
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Galaxy 研究主管 Alex Thorn 和 Bitwise 的 Andre Dragosch 也持有类似观点。事实上，Dragosch补充说，美元指数 (DXY) 跌至 2022 年以
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来的最低水平。 j- r" m' y3 Z2 g, \+ V8 q
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“看起来，比特币正因美元持续疲软而上涨。美元指数刚刚触及2022年3月以来的最低水平。”
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根据附图，比特币的价格走势与美元指数呈负相关。因此，在唐纳德·特朗普总统威胁解雇美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的推动下，美元指( u+ [; \9 M; y. Y' y$ D
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数走弱（从100美元跌至97美元），从而推动了加密货币的上涨。% w# a$ q2 M2 P/ ?3 Q G
* l6 x8 }# _; A, z; [6 NAmberdata 的 Greg Madini 补充道，特朗普的举动“威胁到美联储的独立性”，而鲍威尔的继任者将引发通胀。Magadini补充道，这将推
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% T- ?" B8 L" _% @& Y+ B; v8 O高黄金和比特币的价格。
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下周我们将迎来美联储褐皮书发布，多位美联储理事也将发表讲话。任何威胁美联储独立性的言论都可能成为黄金和比特币上涨的催化
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这里值得指出的是，黄金价格在周一再创历史新高（ATH），这是过去几周脱钩之后首次出现与BTC的正相关性。4 g V5 q; B4 c/ s; J* j A
/ \- L/ O* n( {; e( T6 a这意味着，在关税不确定性的背景下，投资者纷纷涌向黄金和比特币（BTC）作为“避险资产”。大多数交易员和分析师都承认BTC突破2 |3 G* T8 {" V" e
0 @0 `+ p! r! C S8 R8 j( i: m6 y了8.7万美元。( h/ J2 u% h+ P2 Q; V% }" q
3 _$ b9 m3 \: o4 ~& {/ @; x) k然而，BTC 的上涨是由低现货交易量推动的，需要在美国市场开盘时再次确认。匿名分析师 StockMoney Lizards警告称，
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' O) ]& B" h; b3 A! g“突破不错，但成交量不大。肯定需要确认。无论如何，你现在还不应该太兴奋。”
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7 a; B2 k. K* p( ?% ^4 H% _分析师马修·海兰德 (Matthew Hyland)表示，比特币的持续复苏将取决于突破 89,000 美元。
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0 F0 `( p8 n0 O# d6 @+ V“#BTC 多头现在的唯一目标是突破 89,000 美元，创造并确认更高的高点，并确认下行趋势的结束。”/ e) i. i+ z5 i8 M. n- |; F
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CryptoQuant 进一步支持了市场复苏的前景，指出当前的价格走势是正常的回调，而非完整的熊市周期。该公司引用了“链上交
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易者已实现盈亏保证金”指标来佐证这一观点。
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