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[虚拟币交流]
比特币的未来是否有被操纵的风险?你需要知道的转变(转)
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自疫情扰乱传统资产以来,比特币巨头一直在积极积累比特币。- ^8 o3 D: _5 p0 E9 h( q
这是否预示着大规模牛市的前兆?* D2 t7 t. N; c1 J( `5 n
比特币[BTC]突破10万美元,再次证明加密货币市场在第一季度的牛市中蓬勃发展。但这一次,这个六位数的里程碑背后是十年的变化。
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就在10年前,BTC的年初价格为314美元。快进到2025年,增长了29639% ;
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但这不仅仅是数字。AMBCrypto揭示了这一激增背后的隐藏因素——一个将重塑市场的因素。但这是好事还是坏事?
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2 E ?) w" K; K8 I做好准备,一场重大冲击即将到来;5 a& \5 p! p# x. m: B
尽管比特币鲸鱼只占网络的1.25%,但它们一直是帮助比特币打破主要心理目标的关键。
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这一转变在2020-21年周期真正得到了体现,当时疫情后的繁荣推动投资者远离传统市场。" G' q3 W( A% u$ V- H. I$ M
6 D4 J! p* s! B6 J( z: @& m# x作为回应,BTC在2021年首次突破2万美元,持有超过1万BTC的地址达到15万。4 M: w0 p8 H) x& F; C
9 [* D) ]2 w' d5 z0 m* o这就是为什么当市场变得艰难时,散户投资者会转向这些HODLers寻求指导。
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# b' J' ~9 _) X即使是10万美元的突破(截至本文撰写时)也发生在大玩家身上舀起来更多BTC,引发大规模零售资本的涌入.3 r4 C; ~) `& A: Z0 n4 n
% Y- @4 t9 V9 C* L% f _但现在,围绕“中心化”的争论在比特币网络上愈演愈烈。一些人认为,随着更多的比特币集中在更少的人手中,市场可能会更容易受到突然波动的影响。
3 V M. ?% [3 ^. N: |7 D7 h6 J* a8 b4 ?: x* v; n5 p1 X
但情况是这样的:鲸鱼移动的比特币数量已经下降到2016年以来从未见过的水平。换句话说,BTC流入交易所的速度在过去十年中大幅放缓。. _# I' Y; z! ~% F8 j0 i
7 w) c; ^' C% M: ~& _9 Y为什么这很重要?这挑战了比特币巨头正在操纵市场的观点。& n1 F% K8 H1 B9 P& ~+ g" \
& r1 N' I: _8 ?) d事实上,随着鲸鱼积累更多的比特币,交易量放缓,我们可能处于比特币有史以来最大的供应冲击的边缘。
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* m" b# K# g" L+ {2 O+ z比特币鲸鱼正在为2025年做准备
6 k( K9 C8 u6 P* M2 X. s5 q5 e2 z3 j目前,加密货币市场正处于高度兴奋阶段,BTC在两周后收回了10.2万美元。市场内外的多种因素共同推动了这一激增。" w" k! F9 K. w v1 l
7 R( R5 t4 v j2 N$ H5 _& Y然而,这一次的情况与上一个周期有所不同,当时由于经济担忧和美联储的谨慎立场,比特币在10.8万美元处挣扎 ;& U; j: i7 d$ L# Q0 L$ N, }
$ J/ l0 D+ \; h# k% W" O, ~; E/ }随着特朗普就职典礼的临近,第一季度看涨趋势的历史,以及大量资本从这两个方面涌入机构对于散户投资者来说,潜在的反弹可能会更高。
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更重要的是,比特币鲸鱼对BTC作为一种价值储存表现出更强的信心。这一转变表明,价格剧烈波动的时代可能已经过去;
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因此,随着比特币的分布变得更加稳定,其波动性正在稳步下降,为未来更大的周期奠定了基础。
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2 h4 Z4 q; e5 Y5 k+ G随着这一转变,BTC已准备好度过不可避免的2025年市场风暴事实上,它甚至可能将BTC定位为更安全的赌注,在未来一年可能会超过风险较高的资产。4 {# v0 C, b. X9 p/ O# z
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