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[虚拟币交流]
比特币下杀6万美元！ 若贺锦丽胜选，BTC恐回测四万支撑位（转）
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/ W: x( I" Q. ]% i. j9 R7 y伯恩斯坦分析师表示，尽管比特币长期看涨，但美国大选结果将在短期内影响加密货币市场走势，若川普胜选，比特币可能将触及80,000 至90,000 美元；若贺锦丽获胜，比特币可能将下跌，并测试40,000 美元支撑位。; A( c' c& ~/ _" X) R: o
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备受关注的美国大选已经进入最后一个月倒计时，华尔街顶级投行伯恩斯坦（Bernstein）分析师近期也再度重申表示，从长期来看，无论大选结果如何，在低利率、持续的美国财政赤字政策和前所未有的债务水平状况之下，比特币都将向好发展。+ v8 O% {5 b' i
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贺锦丽胜选恐致比特币回测4 万美元& |3 t2 ^4 K z) t/ W
1 x, p: N6 M$ H/ i1 A5 @不过，伯恩斯坦分析师也表示从短期来看，如果民主党候选人贺锦丽最终获胜，短期内市场可能将受到打击，比特币可能也将重新测试40,000 美元的支撑位：
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' M% u1 P) x j6 }& b, V& n如果贺锦丽获胜，在短期内，我们预计比特币将下跌，并可能将测试40,000 美元的支撑位。2 Y" s, [$ w& S5 V, k* k" S/ W
但如果是美国前总统川普胜选，将更有助于比特币上涨，BTC 甚至可能因此冲高至80,000 到90,000 美元：: i" _! y4 S& c
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川普的胜利将对比特币和加密货币市场产生越来越积极的影响，在川普获胜的情况下，我们预计比特币将再创历史新高，达到80,000 或90,000 美元。& V+ ~6 o0 J5 ]- e$ h
山寨币在选举前将保持震荡/ A3 B* [ h/ W9 x6 i
( X" b7 ^0 [- t3 A同时，伯恩斯坦分析师还预计，包括ETH、SOL 等一系列山寨币，在选举前无论如何都将保持区间震荡，因为除了选举结果外，山寨币上涨还需要美国SEC 和白宫在加密监管上做出更为明确的规定。
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比特币下杀6 万大关0 ~7 E* D4 I7 b6 v8 e7 W
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而在加密货币市场方面，尽管稍早美股收涨，但是比特币昨晚短暂触及62,411 美元后就急速下滑，今（10）晨接近五点时最低来到60,302 美元。0 g; X/ A+ w/ d) y6 x
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撰稿当下报60,685 美元，近24 小时下跌2.73%，能否站稳六万美元还需更多时间观察。
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3 D% T3 Z8 d! k2 Z川普胜率达到53.2％! ^2 T( j/ B5 |1 \! o8 }
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据目前大热的预测市场Polymarket数据显示，市场押注川普获胜的机率已经与贺锦丽拉开距离，为53.2％，贺锦丽只有46.2％。但民调结果本来就常有波动，请谨慎判断。7 d) E/ ^ ]& H2 }5 b5 L( W8 k `
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