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在经历了美国SEC官方账号被盗的乌龙后,SEC批准比特币ETF终于尘埃落定。
$ E4 @# t4 a7 t上海社会科学院信息研究所助理研究员王滢波对21世纪经济报道记者表示,美国SEC正式批准比特币现货ETF上市交易,这无疑是加密货币的破圈时刻,将为以比特币为代表的加密货币带来巨大的发展机遇。
2 p# X$ w1 x+ o; c5 `+ a5 u
0 E: |' {/ U, `4 y3 G比特币ETF历时10年终于上市,这将改变比特币的投资面貌,让机构和散户投资者
! q6 u2 y8 Q, A' K" |5 |1 C1 H
* p1 r$ q- b }5 J f+ ?/ r3 K7 @4 C1 X" v3 B9 T. ~7 N- w
在不直接持有比特币的情况下,也能投资比特币。, u+ H4 j2 D0 n( o
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在上海财经大学金融学院副院长曹啸看来,2021年10月SEC批准比特币期货ETF上市,
[" h- }/ a( T5 _0 u
, b* p% \7 ^: i" Y6 V: q如今又批准了比特币现货ETF上市,申请发行比特币ETF的机构不乏贝莱德这样的传统9 w& t- \8 N, L' D( q
& ?8 L% @( P+ T
资管机构,这进一步确认了比特币的资产属性,比特币实际上已经成为主流的配置资产。) e+ c1 } t" S! m7 Y# ?
- |9 `9 S' q+ `, o) g. ^, ?/ g/ d; B
从运作模式看,发行商们将从加密货币交易所购买实物比特币,并交由Coinbase Global等1 f% R6 x1 D. c5 ]3 `! n
$ Y9 ?: X" j2 c: M W/ f5 p1 d托管机构储存,再由后者发行ETF。这些比特币ETF将在纳斯达克、纽约证券交易所和芝加
% i. C1 c+ U6 V/ ~% n3 J6 q g7 ]
哥期权交易所上市。此外,为了解决SEC对市场操纵方面的担忧,纳斯达克和芝加哥期权交1 e! v- k1 C6 `/ b* M) w
( W; e9 |: T& n- m易所已经与美国最大的加密货币交易所Coinbase建立了一个市场监督机制。4 p+ a$ K9 n4 T7 T( W
% \9 ^' x7 R3 G( D4 f天朝(上海)自贸区研究院金融研究室主任刘斌对21世纪经济报道记者表示,这次比特币% ^' O; y( `* Q a, D
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ETF通过,也说明美国监管部门对比特币的态度发生较大变化,根本原因还是美国已经围
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^ n/ r! o8 g! H$ t绕比特币等加密货币建立起相应的监管框架。以比特币为代表的加密货币被多数金融机构
4 H p) l6 o4 C0 z2 G% y. e& Z
- U! p# ^ i) {+ O8 F) A所接受,很多金融机构正围绕比特币等开发相关产品。
1 M$ S" o4 X3 P4 F: j5 u1 w: f4 z1 M* k+ h8 h- i/ ~+ `" v: Q
在比特币ETF获批后,市场乐观情绪升温。作为超级乐观者的代表,美国投资机构Fundstrat
. l2 U6 r0 X: Q( {" Z4 M3 f" ?1 _, Y) l! Q1 b; J1 e
Global Advisors联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee甚至表示,随着ETF获得批准,需求激增,
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+ A& y. ?$ z8 B4 @8 s比特币可能在未来12个月内跃升至10万至15万美元,超过2021年11月达到的约6.9万美元% w) `; D- z; |. P# K1 k
6 S# L0 x! ~! R6 q的历史高点。在未来五年内,比特币可能飙升至50万美元。
: E+ T- ^( E: z! a( _4 ~% ~' R6 q5 y& Q K6 A4 x
不过,更大的意义并不在此。曹啸表示,美国SEC批准比特币ETF对于比特币市场的影响本身
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并不重要,重要的是反映了美国监管机构的意图:通过比特币市场的发展,引导金融机构和
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5 _) N5 h( r5 [ z% k科技公司在区块链技术及其运用上进行投入,从而促进美国金融体系的创新发展。3 u7 @" r. c8 R9 S: Y
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