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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就2 Q' |6 j) J. t2 c& K
l2 l5 D, A/ w# d+ G- m突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照% ^' D, @4 a0 k* Q! E1 k+ e
0 H- L/ o4 d$ Y3 S$ D7 wmatrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴% Y, ]9 Y' W8 H# S/ ^- d
/ ? w9 | g7 M, w7 x忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
9 @3 o! |1 o9 |) w( E- Y% c* Z8 v7 j/ P' F7 E* ~
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
7 |/ n; Q+ n$ r$ X3 g- i
6 z1 n+ d7 C1 f5 q+ t9 E期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。
2 E$ ]& T* l X- w% |5 n1 nETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道% l2 L8 n6 b) x: x( B7 v* d. p
, a7 F" R. c2 C9 C9 y
消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二
7 i4 O! q+ [5 {8 |' Y/ h$ F+ G2 ]- ^! g
或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。
- K8 u% e2 z: L; a- g! w
2 ^7 A; M1 u$ R9 l- I5 r7 D/ t4 g9 I9 _另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货! s) R b' k) M) i* }: H
" V* f+ @, b5 ?- G: C4 |
ETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短* ]) {# S8 I* k/ _! E0 ?4 [" F8 D
1 d0 e" |+ C. B3 A期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，8 B- G' F9 N Y5 L. G" I
7 d5 F3 Y7 z* E' S$ M7 o: |负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
8 @; l. W4 r O7 k: X& [$ w+ E! G3 Q6 R7 M
& N1 H" _' v; e* h1 i8 R: } V* V |
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