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[lastpost] => 2802146 比特币也是比黄金先止跌啦 1769853998 g9527
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4 f* i6 u: n) z比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 ! C) Q% _+ F5 x9 f! A
8 J0 N+ u* a7 g! \
监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，8 G! o0 R$ o0 e6 I- {) g: n9 j
; w0 }. x' [4 u% c* o {- }
专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 8 X7 X4 J/ h. g# @) W+ A
! U$ a- r! u' w7 m有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
o* A: O6 s$ o$ K# V/ H- J5 y& x; D: S9 l4 [) a8 `( R
股等风险较高的投资。
( G" u' N, u% U
+ G& l( p9 r% L3 L) f5 z' _! U芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储 ]1 |! ~% p4 I0 J4 L0 X* w
6 d, k% ~) X0 _$ }$ S9 V0 X5 n明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。 2 E: t+ A1 ^* `3 [
& q+ w" B- ^: l8 p! l3 k, E+ k现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动: I9 |: m9 e& J: F. {( F
# G" ~/ v2 ]' \
因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 % R, A- D6 G. o& q. b4 @9 M" g9 k
5 h& q- K' J7 v* A+ X9 e从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
2 F" E1 d6 ]5 o# n! y1 `8 `( H, x. p- t, }3 ]
更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此
H6 S( O0 B0 `: d
) M% B: d$ |' ]" S1 g$ l# ]仍有许多交易商可能买入。
! D& h @8 }, e, k# G9 y
* _' E) P9 Y8 f; C/ o# j% m( K库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的0 m5 o9 p2 o5 D$ t: f5 J! m
+ z7 ]$ E6 Y5 H* w9 O: u+ k9 Y" U推动力之一。
7 X% l3 V0 W* C$ r+ h- @; k) j3 Y0 |: l
02& M0 l. U) l% ~
& ]) R& B( B3 i* {# T4 z1 S4 I. h有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 $ {/ u* K" C5 C
% v( Y( S) C( N$ J6 |5 \需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 . C( b! I& I7 a9 @
4 m& ]8 c1 q- S4 V5 E7 Q
加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣$ n& C. O8 t1 Y
$ I. A4 c2 |* @, ~的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
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! C- O: F7 ?2 c数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
% ]( R. M/ \; K0 F- f" l) J8 l
8 Z1 A' K. I8 x5 i! }5 X今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。
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