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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。* g6 v' m& ^6 [! z/ f
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？6 ?. Z0 ~& {& P/ }. A
什么是ISDA？
& M l5 v5 x- o国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
' a. y% I0 Z0 T$ \$ w$ u5 s: o( A2 w营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约: t7 \5 Y* y. |4 S4 Y
(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易 v3 @) j$ T& F% H. a. A' t
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市
) k, q. R$ k& S$ z. A% d场的正常发展。
6 F) a; n! K, O换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。2 W% _5 o x: C
进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
7 x; f+ U0 k6 D" v4 g& `3 ~' hDigital Asset。
/ \: Y+ q4 h( |/ @3 d% K9 P加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？
, ^7 T# A. J* U2 a$ _) GDigital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影+ Y9 F: N1 H7 T# E6 I0 I
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。) V7 {" l' e9 I$ b* m9 L( ]+ a
根据其推论：" C# u' o8 i) \$ T. J
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
# Q( i( \! l( a6 ]- r若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
/ K: \( x) c2 x5 R) F5 |8 XXRP目前总市值为349亿美元6 C& }( D! |1 ?
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元8 k' \- N6 o9 l6 d' O5 Q
而XRP目前币价为0.661742! l, G! M5 z3 V7 S& N' ?
0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
6 G5 @7 }& w- m1 G挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？" i: \. R/ a# h% Z1 g( p; N; n
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎
! A+ d% b* s4 P1 j也未有极大的波动。 T* }) r4 B5 e) Q: L7 j' R( [
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生6 S% m8 H: n3 A) E- i( V) D
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这8 j0 f$ |2 f' `- Z
个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢5 y2 ?9 s6 I( w ^$ W% M
引导传统金融的采用呢？+ P5 C1 \+ u( `8 X
. z: j$ z( j6 I% E9 \+ L+ p+ H
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