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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
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[1757] => 第三方支付
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 0 D4 P9 J+ q7 W0 p1 T
& N+ J) P& i5 x$ P2 Z
5. 废话的不对称原则
( J6 \3 A( L7 I( a! B& \反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。6 {% E+ u: s4 D% {! c9 E% `1 _/ V' k
) h+ n7 K! Q& p6 F9 {0 f5 N回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。9 N& v8 ^, i$ {' l9 H2 e
( m/ V! b- h0 l7 f
写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。
0 [" l/ J1 G3 B( {2 V; a G3 L, }% s. J; u6 i$ W8 q" _0 a2 [, ^
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
$ D. I1 X1 k8 S/ K- @* r4 p- w8 B" y b
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。7 t9 r/ }0 Y4 d3 z) C7 t0 _
+ i' D, ?% U. }2 O* U! X6 U6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)
; D- q# i) G: }) e* q: B1 I3 q被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。7 F9 o5 ]; E* u+ H' d
- u9 b" o7 X& g4 \- [- j
不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。
0 g& G/ |2 u0 i4 i2 |- |$ O- ?& f' h% j# h+ o; x
因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
]0 z2 ]7 I6 U: A( B8 ^2 F O
! I8 l5 g% ]* t2 q想象一下罕见事件:; G; A0 Y. \/ J; s
$ T5 s& Z4 \5 e• 中本聪的钱包苏醒0 @/ @; z; W* v% t; K
6 r$ Y0 V6 E; x- X# V' u• 核打击
5 S. N+ W0 U/ D, B5 P/ n; L2 O* _6 W" C) Z$ s- y6 _& ~9 r8 p
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!) [& K6 E+ o7 s: m# |4 s7 t
; Q6 c( a ]2 s
7.二八定律
$ C+ w# [. H5 y( X' a在币圈:
5 [: r7 Z3 X5 y9 j! h2 T! m" w7 i0 P, f; P! O, h% {# L' v9 H
80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。 w1 @1 \3 J2 [0 V
h+ A* B* I! I# C! v- o
80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
6 D Q& H8 J' _; U% F i4 A9 q
& j7 _: ]. x5 p我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
( W" Y3 o# X! y& R
/ q7 m7 c* C5 b) I; P! `8.网络效应
2 j2 o; \, i+ F* B+ p产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。) T8 L( f3 W, L
/ b, g% k R- `' P7 Q
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?4 f9 @8 u! F# B/ P# _4 \- W
9 D8 _3 K3 }/ B4 I3 H3 g
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。0 j1 ]8 l4 d: R7 `
1 m) V3 M1 d$ j
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。( ~' B( H2 y: ?& X* J
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