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NBA收官排名迷题解析(1)——联盟第一之争
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常规赛就快要结束了,东西部八强已经产生,而东西部(西部尤甚)最终排名还是雾里看花,一片混沌,还有多少的谜题等待解决。
1 l+ l+ j* z. [' C+ G9 w4 T: E 现在,马刺和公牛已经锁定东西部榜首席位,到底谁将问鼎常规赛?
& p( L9 @- b" O这里抽丝剥茧,解析联盟第一之争。
! h2 Y* S; R5 ]! L马刺 ( 60胜19负)VS 公牛 (59胜20负)( Z1 f, i! h# Q
不得不说,GDP老了,邓肯挡不住岁月的摧残,吉诺比利不再当第六人,和帕克承担了更多的责任。但就是这老迈的马刺居然再现锋芒,长时间傲居联盟榜首,这或许得益于波波维奇对第二梯队新人乔治希尔、布莱尔和菜鸟尼尔和老将的知人善任,更加真实的原因还是有待专家们的论证吧。4 R: h* W2 R2 {
未知,赛季末。马刺稍微休整,一波四连败就劈头盖脸的来临,波波维奇悬崖勒马,派出全主力阵容,未曾想,又连续栽倒在凯尔特人和火箭脚下,六连败!& B" F$ n4 }# ^2 o4 P
与之相映成趣的是,湖人一路高歌猛进,全明星赛后17胜1负,8连胜,马刺西部第一的宝座岌岌可危。还好,马刺在其后收获了三连胜(虽然对手的成色不高,但马刺好好歹在慢慢找回比赛状态),滑稽的是此时气势如虹的湖人陷入低谷,四连败,马刺终于坐稳西部第一的宝座。
5 `6 @6 k" E5 F' y' M5 _; Q 现在马刺依然处在联盟榜首的位置,马刺未来先后面对的10日爵士、13日湖人、14日太阳。$ t0 a# z4 T: }" N' k; J
可怜太阳、爵士,曾经多么威风,两者都经历了一个失望的赛季,沦落到远离季后赛,如今无欲无求,纳什已经开始休战,而爵士近10战9败。两队都进入最后年轻人的SHOW TIME,战斗力?纪律性?在全神贯注的马刺面前难以全身而退。当然爵士唯一一胜来源于湖人,值得马刺警醒。" A0 Q; B* F' C# @$ y% k9 L
在两战之间,马刺将客场挑战湖人,比赛时间颇有玄机,13日10:30。(后面评述)
; H' d5 t' n4 y" p 公牛夺冠20年的庆典,这鼓舞着年轻人,指引他们再创辉煌。
3 V Z% V/ i1 }! a) p当年公牛曾经与凯尔特人上演激情四溢的攻击战,而今年的公牛是脱胎换骨的一年,锡伯杜这位前凯尔特人的防守教练,让公牛由攻击性的生兵蛋子,演绎成为防守强横,场均失分91.2分,仅次于凯尔特人的90.8,联盟第二,而且公牛的场均胜分7.3分联盟第一。而随着布泽尔来临,球队的进攻体系更加丰富,尤为关键的是罗斯个人的飞跃:羸弱的外线三分球命中率提升(26%至33%),助攻由6变成7.9,这让他变得更加全能,更加难以防范。公牛轮换阵容充沛的出场时间,保证了公牛场上表现的持续性。0 J# z: p& Q5 D5 A0 W* F
公牛开局短暂的磨合过后,开始发力,尤其是全明星赛后,21胜3负,一跃从东部诸强中脱颖而出,傲居榜首。公牛对阵凯尔特人前期两连败,后期两连胜,让人见识他的提升,而三连胜横扫热火,更加让人恐惧。/ G8 P9 R& s- M; e& C7 H t( M
公牛未来的赛程为11日客场魔术,13日客场尼克斯、14日主场篮网。: G* m" A* @, O3 h v4 [
公牛只有收官战篮网是囊中之物,而另两战,公牛并没有更大的把握:魔术铁定东部第四,名次无求,而这一战关乎未来的季后赛第二轮,魔术能否倾尽全力?尼克斯正在与76人位于东部第六、七(尼克斯与76人战成2:2,但占有分区战绩优势),尼克斯会否根据热火凯尔特人的位次决定自己的未来,都将影响与公牛的比赛。
) o+ g m k8 o* P1 K 相对来说,马刺的对手更弱一些,而且,马刺完全可以根据公牛对阵魔术、尼克斯(13日8:00)的结果,来决定对阵湖人的投入(13日10:30)。在联盟第一之争中,马刺无疑更加轻松一些。
E( M8 c; J& @: w当然正如广告语所说:NBA、奇迹见证的地方,没到最后一刻,鹿死谁手还是未知数。
" `3 P. \( r! [6 x, y1 l0 q- t$ B7 s 那么,不同的情况,最终的常规赛冠军谁属呢?
. m# I& F2 X5 h! f) t, _6 u7 G 根据规则,胜场占优:+ U1 t. v. Z5 M9 f
马刺封王
; r4 _) {$ ^0 \' R4 X 马刺三战全胜,马刺战绩是63胜19负,公牛最高是63胜19负。* n' x& s' f# C. _% ~* c
马刺二胜一负,马刺战绩是62胜20负,公牛二胜一负以下,最高是62胜20负4 E* d- z; n6 Y5 Z2 |* z
马刺一胜二负,马刺战绩是61胜21负,公牛一胜二负以下,最高是61胜21负
8 p' u6 c4 Z# U' _ 马刺零胜三负,马刺战绩是60胜22负,公牛三战全负,最高是60胜22负。. Z9 H' k3 ?9 A6 f: S8 B$ i8 O6 X- Y0 D
公牛封王: ^$ s$ y6 B/ M" a) ~! a% d
马刺一胜二负,马刺战绩是61胜21负,公牛三胜,最高是62胜20负) f- w( T, Z; r: ~7 i8 u
马刺0胜三负,马刺战绩是60胜22负,公牛二胜一负以上,最低是61胜21负
Z2 O9 f! I. E1 ~2 f& o: n$ Y: f 情况最复杂的出现在双方战绩相同的情况:
, R T- v. M+ ] 这时公牛称王,为什么?3 x* M3 N- u# Y5 |& N2 R1 ^7 ?5 p4 f" j9 U
双方比赛战绩是1:1,势均力敌;- O5 q9 X) R; w; w l9 N7 A* Y
马刺两胜一负,公牛三战全胜,双方同为62胜20负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为39胜13负;- A& o; @) i5 n8 _ k) ^8 F
马刺一胜两负,公牛二胜一负,双方同为61胜21负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为38胜14负;
% T& G3 V% c( O% y4 `% O" F+ y" G 马刺0胜2负,公牛一胜两负,双方同为60胜22负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为37胜15负;
" b4 F. }3 p: N 依旧是不分伯仲,这时就需要比较双方的小赛区胜率:( |- |+ d W, g8 p* ^7 h3 r* U2 \
马刺是10胜6负,而公牛是15胜1负,双方居然有如此的差距!!!
- L, |0 T q6 Q3 |" z: g 可怜马刺生在西南赛区,强队林立(小牛、黄蜂、灰熊、还有不屈不挠的火箭),4 n8 O" A4 F$ H1 W* o
而公牛所在的中部赛区,步行者、雄鹿、骑士、活塞。
4 I0 n& Z' U& }# @ 马刺是生不逢处啊!
( d# I2 w% v1 I0 T 联盟第一到底花落谁家?还是拭目以待吧!
1 s( y* g) ?! P2 u) m+ m 个人妄自推断,双方将同为二胜一负,马刺以62胜力压公牛61胜封王! |
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