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[lastpost] => 2801253 市值 6 万亿美元的富达将在以太坊上推出新的稳定币（转） 1769616184 jackcool1011
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[虚拟币交流]
当前市场：为什么BTC横盘但Altcoin却在“流血”？
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在最近的几次走势中，我们很容易注意到：BTC横盘（震荡）在稳定的价格区间内。& r0 v4 V$ U `+ _6 b5 `
Altcoin持续下跌，尽管比特币尚未出现剧烈下跌。" P" _( h+ ]9 P0 ?8 T
越南市场的USDT汇率仍然很高，显示出对稳定币的需求并未减弱。' n: Z4 [5 M( P0 U- E* o# o# @
你们可以比较两张图表：altcoin/BTC和Altcoin/USDT的相对强弱指数。
* E& O' g% L. Z1 N$ ]从九月初开始。上涨时，alt/btc弱于usdt，因为atl/usdt对冲使用了期货杠杆，而下跌时则强于usdt，因为直接通过现货交易。
1 a' s5 N/ _1 l! Walt/btc/ @# p9 S- X) W' e8 o6 m# H
alt/usdt: a% ]. N$ ~/ y3 _6 `, b8 v8 {" |
那么，发生了什么？' I& ^: i _" N; e$ h3 W
1. 大户轮换资金
; A* W# y+ v4 Y9 C' Y与其直接将山寨币抛售为USDT（会导致alt/USDT图表大幅下滑），大户和市场做市商选择将山寨币转换为BTC或ETH。
: ?: V. P. k/ _; \这种方式使得alt/USDT对看起来仍然相对稳定。1 x" w T# M9 c! v# J$ O7 Y7 h
但实际上，如果观察ALT/BTC或ALT/ETH对，我们会发现山寨币贬值非常严重。6 W" R$ Y& c8 d' o% x) o, p" J
2. 市场的防御心理3 H; W, |% M. ~- L8 I
投资者正在缩小风险，优先选择BTC和ETH——这些资产流动性大，波动性小。
4 H# Y9 q& P5 u7 R, R$ l这解释了为什么资金没有流入山寨币，导致它们逐渐疲弱。
M( U- h4 E7 G# O# G/ T3. 需要关注的信号
0 l% a8 m9 ^. z2 mBTC主导率和ETH主导率有上升趋势→确认资金流向大币种。
' _3 l0 a( ~- m. j' {5 @山寨币市场总市值持续下降→显示山寨币仍在被抽血。
2 Y% v5 I9 \' y/ N" m) \0 C- h8 zUSDT保持高价→稳定币需求依然强劲，USDT主导率仍高，但尚未出现资金愿意冒险回流的迹象。1 G# O3 a; U2 ?- d
4. 对投资者的意义1 C( @1 P4 p: r* O' B6 i
在这个阶段，缺乏新买盘的山寨币难以形成独立波动。
' W8 H$ Q9 S: |/ G如果BTC横盘时间过长后再大幅波动，山寨币可能会被“踩”出一个波段。
/ E- O9 ?# P8 F安全策略：关注资金流动，避免过多持有弱势山寨币，集中于顶级币或在强烈信号出现后再大举投资山寨币。
2 o6 e+ D6 T6 {% L5 B b( [结论：市场正进入大户收集BTC/ETH流动性的阶段，山寨币只是资金轮换周期中的“猎物”。散户投资者需要保持警觉，不要被alt/USDT尚未崩盘的感觉迷惑，以为这是机会。, h' ?. y* K5 W1 ^$ m' c1 }6 i
#加密货币#
& \, r" [" m+ g" x
6 F9 o3 H1 C/ F. G- z |
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这波山寨币被割得血淋淋的，BTC装死不动，小币全在裸奔，庄家明显在抽水换仓呢 |
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市场操作有点阴谋论，大户在搞鬼转移资金，小散步森严防范保身。 |
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