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[虚拟币交流]
特朗普关税导致股市暴跌——但比特币早已经历过这一切(转)
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尽管宏观 FUD 不断上升,比特币仍保持在关键的 94,000 美元流动性区间之上。3 w) i% x" @! C' B, L8 u7 p/ `
持续的股市疲软可能会冷却企业的支持,对 BTC 的弹性构成关键考验。" X3 v" R" v }
特朗普总统的“让美国再次伟大”的口号对于风险资产来说是一把双刃剑。& F: ` Y; L. ^8 k" r
' }, j0 l% f+ `$ W3 c, A \) j一方面,他大胆、高举旗帜的民族主义给市场带来了清晰的认识,但他的举动的不可预测性也让市场充满猜测。
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! o! y0 L$ P1 z2 @进入 比特币[BTC],在宏观风险再次爆发之际创下历史新高(ATH)。时机?简直乱糟糟的。
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) a" ]% ?8 W, R* q O现在,BTC 的弹性再次受到压力测试。! w3 Q) h$ ?" ]$ l1 V' j
+ ]) i+ }& e- \9 T$ M但据 AMBCrypto 称,经过数月的利率调整、流动性波动和地缘ZZ噪音,经验丰富的投资者可能已经具备了正确应对这一局面的肌肉记忆。
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D这是否意味着当前的“下跌”是一场精心策划的震荡,聪明的投资者会利用它?" Y% v; t1 \5 s; ^- Z
/ Z' F6 x7 G& v1 _/ G9 b' c
比特币的信念面临另一场压力考验
! s, o# c/ h7 U7 `90天的关税休战并没有持续多久。; G& c; r; s2 U- {0 t
, V' i {: K3 J( a# @从 6 月 1 日开始,恢复对欧盟征收 25% 的关税又回来了——这引发了全球范围内的通胀担忧。
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$ v- L# o3 f9 x5 V7 R2 b自然,比特币做出了反应,大幅下跌 3.79%,收于 106,816 美元。这证实波动性已正式重新进入讨论。退出流动性也紧随其后。
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Glassnode数据显示超过 420k BTC 的成本基础约为 94,000 美元,是本周期中最强劲的链上支撑区之一。$ z: `6 ?' A) Q" K9 E0 f4 a
$ b0 Z) N6 H, V, ]& H- u( C
按当前价格计算,这群人仍然拥有约 14.5% 的未实现收益,因此决定是持有还是退出并不简单。( k, Q: I1 {# G# l7 \
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不过,由于流动性基础如此密集,且价格仅出现小幅下跌,此举可能不那么令人恐慌,而更多是为新一轮逢低买入做准备。* O- A- N, U5 X' }1 V
" x/ n" y8 F. l6 K7 T. v$ c正如 AMBCrypto 所预测的那样。! l7 |6 J/ {8 U/ r$ \! B
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经典的投资者困境在宏观经济不确定性再度抬头之际重现
. w# W. q$ B/ t6 \+ `受到关税打击的不仅仅是欧盟,就连苹果公司 (AAPL) 也受到了冲击。
8 b/ n m0 {0 \1 D$ a; d3 R, J2 K
; t' J" w+ A2 X# H9 M针对这家市值2.9万亿美元的巨头,美国将于6月1日起对苹果征收25%的新关税。尽管谈判窗口仍然存在,但假设苹果愿意配合特朗普的提议,市场并未等待解决方案。 g+ H8 }' k8 F
1 X8 C" p* f& E2 d! w反应如何?迅速而残酷。! V% H2 y5 O1 S2 x1 f
1 w. Y- _2 K7 p短短五个交易日内,标准普尔500指数的市值蒸发了1.5万亿美元。与此同时,苹果延续了连续下跌的势头,过去10天从212美元下跌了近8%。4 ~: y$ q% [* O' x2 P. m7 g
: N; A' k% O4 j8 p* Q! E这有什么大不了的?随着股市遭受打击,企业资金可能会转向比特币。, T* o/ o7 q: m9 r d- e1 m
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随着风险资本的流动,BTC 有望上涨,而 Michael Saylor 的声音支持只会火上浇油。7 j$ ^; ?: U# t* J9 u9 S, l
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