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[lastpost] => 2802084 币安发布 10 月 11 日加密市场闪崩详细调查报告(转) 1769821272 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币的市场情绪在“几个月中的第一次” - 细节上是负面的(转)
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Twitter和媒体情绪变负否定,表明比特币市场的潜在重置
/ b% C8 {% V1 ?* `) h6 l4 X尽管市场波动,但链上活动和矿工信心表明,尽管; _* z1 h* a" s9 m1 F
和比特币[BTC]进入新阶段,最近的分析揭示了市场情绪的转变。自2024年12月以来,Twitter和Twitter媒体都首次成为负面的。
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现在,尽管这不能保证立即的价格下跌,但它确实表明了更广泛的市场重置。当比特币导航这一转变时,问题仍然存在 - 从这里到哪里? O( S* [) W; ]* ^4 Q5 n- P6 ]
! y# [8 D# T+ u6 [社交媒体 - 塑造比特币市场情绪
" z+ G+ s# n. U& X2 ], i, t% n市场情绪在塑造比特币的价格变动中起着至关重要的作用,X之类的平台已成为公众感知的关键指标。在社交媒体上表达的观点可以成为一种强大的预测工具,从而影响了投资者的行为。, n4 `! _1 k" i& t# Q6 T
9 {% m9 F# I) X# e当积极的情绪很高时,它会推动购买活动,而负面情绪会触发销售压力。: H" A y1 x& }& ~0 n
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从历史上看,在社交媒体情绪转变之后,比特币的价格波动很大。例如,在2017年,关于比特币的积极推文的激增在其象征上升之前。相反,2018年和2022年的低迷是通过在线越来越多的悲观主义反映的。
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5 S0 g4 r5 d( E2 r; X9 d- L% J9 p警告还是机会?
& ]. a1 L/ M7 }3 y" ?, }! u自2024年12月以来,比特币的情绪首次翻倒了,这与欣喜的形成了鲜明的对比,这引起了其最近的高点。& ^/ `, k) v# G3 ~- J
. t3 L1 H" w& D; G; E5 L1 }5 ^0 l* |从历史上看,这种情绪低落的人已经充当了拐点 - 在2024年中期所见,要么在延长的合并之前,要么像2023年初那样为急剧的反弹奠定了基础。
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. C: U- b( c$ p3 G7 j关键要点不仅是这种情绪变成负面的;这是市场的情感周期正在重置。这个阶段通常会看到弱的双手退出,而机构和储蓄的投资者则悄悄地积累。恐惧驱动的销售历来为逆势投资者创造了不对称的机会。9 g/ Q! O: {5 N6 G6 `) [
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交易者不应将其视为确定的底部信号,而是应该利用这一刻重新评估其定位。跟踪导数和链上数据将是确定比特币是否正在为恢复还是准备更深层摇动的关键。* e& ]( p9 k' A
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比特币在链上的活动和哈希拉特上升,售价为10万美元$ e- X1 o* v$ ^. Y) r( ?# ?
比特币的每日图表强调了一个合并阶段,其价格徘徊在$ 97,600上。50天的SMA为$ 98,762似乎是立即的抵抗,而200天的SMA为79,836美元,暗示了长期支持。; j" ~# v7 r N2 x+ ~0 n5 [1 b
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46.89的RSI提到了中立动量,反映了市场上的犹豫不决。同时,MACD为负,看涨差异暗示了可能的趋势变化。
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如果比特币收回10万美元,它可能会引发新的看涨情绪。但是,未能打破钥匙阻力水平可能会导致进一步的巩固或重新测试较低的支撑区。
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每天的主动地址和鲸鱼交易也激增 - 这是机构和零售参与日益增长的标志。
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- V' v$ U# B Y0 z# |从历史上看,此类尖峰已经进行了重大价格转移,可以被解释为意味着高市场利益。
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3 ]4 O) L# j1 a* X" c' r同时,比特币的Hashrate也一直在飙升,这表明矿工信心和长期网络安全。在这些价格水平上,矿工的韧性意味着销售压力降低 - 突出了比特币的实力。# M8 x4 _$ k- y" i7 ~4 y5 a- A
+ K$ Y2 x7 U- l) Y! v; q& Y尽管所有负面情绪都有强大的基础,但比特币的集会具有强大的基础知识,这意味着这可能只是一个临时阶段。但是,应监视鲸鱼活动的潜在利润接近10万美元。决定性的突破可能会引发进一步的动力,但是波动仍然是一个关键风险。- _" Q" T% T% Y$ ?7 Y4 l
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