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[lastpost] => 2798212 华尔街股市上涨，以太坊下跌——但ETH/BTC汇率却呈现出另一番景象。（转） 1768818895 爱美的女人
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[虚拟币交流]
$BTC 2024开门红, 1月底突破5万, 年底前突破12.5万？（转）
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今天是2024年第一个工作日，BTC也是来了一个开门红，一大早就
# ?7 K' Q7 X1 O
5 B$ Z' K& W. ~+ F$ ^1 F$ O突破了45000刀，看这个架势可能在ETF正式通过之前很难回调了，按照
, Q3 E2 V' r8 E- F. o( `6 o# q" J2 m: ]- j
matrixport的预测， 一月份大饼将会突破50000刀。这个matrixport是吴3 o, j0 S. I. L8 q0 a% z
" j6 S( f( ~4 Y4 e |5 e3 |" t& f忌寒旗下的机构，近期预测还蛮准，10月的时候就预测大饼年底前破4万，
O. S H4 r9 G4 l+ `; _, X- q% r9 [! j6 ]. y
这个算是实现了，另外这家机构还有中短期预测，短期就是1月破5万，中
, u* f; ~, Y0 R% _/ G$ m+ X
& k- j8 W! K4 W0 F/ K期是本轮牛市大饼突破12.5万，这俩都可以期待下。1 p$ T# B3 I" I( b, f# c& K
ETF的最新消息，其实假期这两天并没有ETF被批准的正式消息，不过小道
* ^4 Y- D: U% E3 o4 X$ D! \; { n' s8 w
消息还是不少的。前晚就有号称业内人士透露的，说是SEC最早会在小周二% C, ?/ w; X! v j7 Z) M% }# e
# r3 @/ Z ^9 e或周三正式通知各大机构ETF批准的好消息，而且是几家同时批准的消息。3 X" g& h' G# J8 p0 [# q
6 s0 L8 v' C, T! G# s; z& h$ }2 w另外一个小道消息来自昨晚，说是有分析师在期权成交数据中读到了现货
8 u1 h" A. a. X! I+ m! ]
: q# \9 e# s: a# F; s2 [! q) CETF将在1月上半月落地，且该消息出来后大饼就顺利突破45000了，然后短
! T5 q5 _! _; E" c4 Z4 Y
3 v2 r s+ b' K4 `期期权IV也出现了爆拉。另外灰度还在继续招聘ETF产品专家和合规人员，- p, B2 s9 |! @
$ q; v h; Y% s负溢价也来到3点几，这说明灰度GBTC距离转为现货ETF也很近了。
5 Y4 p- T# ]6 ^- l! T; @
9 {, f2 P$ R& T- {7 h( x8 @) B; j8 f- Y( {$ [4 e
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