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2023.12.25
% w6 F( A5 ]$ ] ^场外现金总额最近已达到创纪录的5.88万亿美元。这比去年增加了24%，当时货币市场基金的规模为4.73万亿美元。3 {" J/ W; P4 i8 o' v7 A8 c5 ^
9 R ~1 s+ l y5 Y6 G3 F “这一指标应能让市场多头感到宽慰，这意味着鉴于全球流动性背景以及大量场外现金，未来几周或几个月的小幅回调应成为买入的机会，”1 }' @, E2 D! L$ W; ?; M9 b. X
2 X1 E6 Q3 q, e2 Z% N如果美联储明年开始降息，货币市场基金的无风险利率也将下降。这将降低将现金投入货币市场基金的吸引力，促使更多资金转向股市
4 b3 W8 l7 o) T6 g* G8 c0 M _
- T3 q; L2 O( Y4 K* @" @- A; }Fundstrat在华尔街是出了名的大多头。在最近的一份报告中，该机构联合创始人兼研究主管Tom Lee表示，他预计标普500指数有望在明年年底前涨至5200点，较当时水平上涨约14%，成为华尔街最乐观的预测。
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" A$ g* J; l: d# ]/ d7 O技术面. f3 A4 }: A6 O [+ [" p2 M
5 @$ X# ?6 F5 Q2 z `' g) T8 X
日线：日线整体趋势上涨，上行通道还未被破坏，MACD目前在中上轨，目前还在回调中
9 {+ {! }( R$ k7 d6 S; H7 f8 w/ S6 D; d0 \' ?( O4 H5 P
四小时线：箱体如预期的被破坏了，今明两天再观察，这笔走至42300-42500再继续上行( `' l: K4 L! t6 W
6 H( |, y5 T, |1 l; N) A( J十五分钟线：这笔应当会有一笔二次探底，探至42300-42500的位置6 ~# i7 ]/ \. s6 v+ S; p3 f
- l; F2 { X$ u$ ]/ f4 F操作计划：44100空继续持有，42300尝试接多
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