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[lastpost] => 2802146 比特币也是比黄金先止跌啦 1769853002 小作文
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[虚拟币交流]
比特币Layer2有机会超越以太坊Layer2的体量吗？（转）
[复制链接]
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答案几乎是肯定的：
( n% W* o1 v& i2 n$ o: b k" i至少有以下几个原因：
3 f3 w) E9 h1 q. W8 r/ F3 Z6 _9 P P9 Y# N/ _8 w. h
1、目前已经有完全去中心化的BTC Layer2方案可以使用。
" t; ?- I& r! {6 O# Y: E7 D' C9 M8 Q& P+ d. i) J3 D# t
在没有完全去中心化的方案之前，最大的比特币封装资产是通过中心化
: m W$ Q7 L. \0 t2 R" k* V
$ ~/ G( t$ z! m+ p Y) T! A) o0 z机构Bitgo发行的WBTC，目前约65亿美金规模。在完全去中心化的方案3 t5 u% f8 f3 U" ]
. R* Q' b. Y; v# ] f6 ]0 o出现后（如BEVM），预测该市场可以再增长5-10倍以上，体量可以达到' h* T9 I, `: P; F+ A! `
6 ]* O( [, P. ]325亿-650亿美金，远远大于ETH Layer2目前的200亿美金总TVL（该数; P( l! ^/ V; S- W
: P8 I: m4 w' W7 d9 {7 a1 X5 J; h据包含了跨链的ETH和ETH Layer2上的其他资产，实际跨链的ETH远没有1 Y' w& n ?9 ?7 _: j6 E
% U+ z0 E, _- W; k' }0 o
达到200亿美金）9 }5 P; t7 W* [
& N' p% r$ b: M9 v% h2、比特币由于天然是图灵不完备的，因此，比特币要发展生态比以太坊# ~) p) p7 W+ v: Z# s
b) E6 ?) ?/ e, G$ t; Y
更需要Layer2，因此，未来将会有大量BTC到Layer2去构建各类去中心化3 B Z* }9 `% @$ Y# j
- {3 T! q5 h7 x6 J: p, A
的BTC应用。这是市场需求决定的。5 U& R/ I9 L; W m2 ]
# b# w- n, v1 c: ~- Y. {2 r, p3、比特币Layer2可以比以太坊Layer2更抗审查，更容易获得用户尤其大
) m' G& C: W" F. C5 {+ }
+ X7 {: O4 T! |6 l" B% y8 j! j f资金的信任和青睐。! t- v( |0 W9 q& l6 ~4 B; ~
( A+ G; N# u- g6 g" W: o
4、比特币市值是以太坊市值的3倍，目前ETH Layer2的总TVL约200亿美3 w7 p* S/ ?" X/ L3 i3 g# x. e% Z& Q
3 R3 G2 E+ Q/ t& p3 h金，约占以太坊市值的10%；按照同样的比例，如果未来10%的BTC进入$ C$ C% }: o& Z
2 u: C1 d: B: t) G: o
比特币Layer2，整个TVL将达到850亿美金，是以太坊Layer2体量的3倍之多。( |+ i/ x, H" t" w' w ?4 M/ g
9 B- ~" s0 x/ `) x* R |
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