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[lastpost] => 2798959 以太坊的关键指标转向“主导地位”——ETH 即将迎来一波上涨行情吗？（转） 1768951292 sunnyclare001
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[虚拟币交流]
Fed暗示2024降息三次！比特币冲破4.3万美元（14日转）
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美国联准会(Fed)在9、11月连续两次暂停升息后，于今(14)日凌晨3点释出的FOMC声明
0 a( G/ W# E2 g7 h* f中，三度维持联邦基准利率在5.25%~5.50%区间不变，一如市场此前预期。
7 _- R% z/ C& f4 V且令投资者兴奋的事，主席鲍威尔(Powell)透露降息也已进入Fed视野。
, p% s6 S( O$ D# T官员预计：2024将降息3次' w9 z& e, @3 z% z3 A; l% V
虽然Fed在FOMC声明中仍强调实现2%的通货膨胀率是其最终目标，但最新的经济数据表明，经济增长较第三季1 E9 D8 _5 S4 L! L" K5 E
度有所放缓，就业依然保持强劲、失业率也维持在较低水平。因此，联准会官员在决定维持利率不变的同时，也
* b, d8 d" S( e; }: u; ^ a已经开始讨论降息的时机。( }) x2 ~0 f- v" }
主席鲍威尔表示：这将是我们展望未来的一个主题，Fed官员预计明年将三次降息25个基点，这将推动市场大幅
& |$ p4 [; _! k6 W+ }走高。
; G; V& j9 ^2 l. e0 Y( b且根据利率点阵图，联准会官员还预计将在2025年再降息四次，他们相信，将不再需要通过提高利率的方式来缓
3 Z# |. U) `+ y5 B* z$ k$ {解CPI压力，因为到今年年底，通膨率将放缓至2.8%，2024年底则将降至2.4%。
) e5 X5 d4 |1 A& [/ B$ f7 f' g9 U比特币冲破4.3万1 {) D8 x8 o9 B4 h# j* I1 s
受到Fed宣布不加息、并透露明年考虑降息的激励下，比特币在今(14)晨六点最高来到43,475美元。
* u0 |5 n" o# m q$ o9 H截稿前略有回落，报42,773美元/近24小时涨幅为3.2%。
4 M# `: N. \7 k以太坊同样呈现上涨趋势，稍早最高攀上2284美元，截稿前报2,255美元/近24小时涨幅为2.3%。
5 j5 F0 f7 q3 ~4 }, u4 ]美股四大指数齐扬" n) c$ X% o5 u7 \
回到美股方面，表现也相当亮眼，四大指数齐涨、道指更是创下历史新高：; i H5 c1 @. E. i8 }+ q/ t
道琼工业指数：上涨512.3点(1.4%)，收37090.24点# k4 G- I" }) X, ?9 D) H' N6 {
纳斯达克指数：上涨200.57点(1.38%)，收14733.96点: H3 M1 Z ^7 H. ?. V% g P
标普500指数：上涨63.39点(1.37%)，收4707.09点- u+ ^. }. P. ^! v8 H
费城半导体指数：上涨60.77点(1.55%)，收3990.95点
; H4 R9 F$ f. R1 M5 r( R美国10年债殖利率跌破4%5 E& C7 F! L6 ~5 _
另外美国10年期公债殖利率也呈现较剧烈的下跌，撰稿时跌破4%。
6 `5 l( Q8 U: C6 a" `被誉为「新债券天王」的双线资本(Double Line)创办人Jeffrey Gundlach就预测，美国10年期公债殖利率明年将- O, H: Z7 f. T! ~% W
跌到更接近3%水平。
! N& s: T/ U0 S" t# e* J1 i' H: F$ `/ B+ u: V# _2 w2 z0 m
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