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[lastpost] => 2802038 比特币价格跌至9个月低点后，市场情绪转为看跌。（转） 1769791723 人生如赌
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' B! o8 x# `6 E& h0 e比特币最近甚至大幅跑赢了自10月底以来一直走高的道琼斯工业平均指数和标普500指数。 9 d7 j# c6 W! ~' o. F
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监管机构有望很快批准首只现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)是比特币上涨背后的主要推动力，: {; X' Z+ E( K# M) u
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专家预测，这将引发投资者对数字资产的新一轮兴趣。 " ?" u. V% v( `3 v9 |
?6 s: [, g4 d, V, R: A有关美联储明年将多次降息的预期升温也给比特币带来提振，利率下降通常利好比特币和科技
2 P; m8 ^$ W9 K" A) @. ]
: ^ B+ B. f a! q& p股等风险较高的投资。
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! l( A) R% P; @$ C" f( H芝加哥商品交易所(CME)的美联储观察(FedWatch)工具显示，联邦基金期货交易员预计，美联储8 ?0 T# `" |: O7 a7 D
# m& v' |7 g+ Z! y Y明年3月降息25个基点的概率超过50%，高于一周前的21.5%。
% Y( k# l& B# N) C+ v0 }7 ~1 |8 r1 k3 Y1 j! H8 @
现在的问题是，比特币接下来会怎么走？除了供应和需求之外，比特别几乎没有什么基本面驱动
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因素，但分析人士认为，比特币还有更大的上涨空间。 0 m5 i0 ?; [" }9 a; o; ~' F5 T
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从技术面来看，比特币在过去被证明波动非常大的一个区间内拥有上涨动能。
. B3 f) \3 B* X
( E; A9 I! C1 p1 q! e更广泛地来看，虽然比特币有进入超买区域的风险，但交易数据显示，交易量仍然相对低迷，因此2 J/ r2 {0 g- H2 e
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仍有许多交易商可能买入。 9 s `4 `# F( @/ k
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库普齐克维奇说：“越来越多的投资者会因为‘害怕错过’(FOMO)而买入。”FOMO是加密货币最强大的# H% R; U6 L8 n. e! O: x
* v- B$ j+ c1 ^, e" O) Q a推动力之一。
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2 E& ]- F7 a1 h% g: B: ]. X- o02
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v8 a" y5 {1 t8 K g d! l& C/ v有证据显示，许多散户和机构交易员仍在离场观望，近期的上涨可能会吸引更多人买入。 ! e6 [0 O) B7 B9 i% r$ p
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需求增加的同时，比特币供应紧张——许多长期持有者不愿卖出，价格可能还会走高。 ( L6 O6 j. B5 P# V: k/ x
4 ^9 ?# X" b8 A加密金融服务公司Galaxy Digital的研究主管亚历克斯·索恩(Alex Thorn)说：“这次反弹让很多感兴趣/ h+ C5 ?+ v' t% U1 C. `8 J3 g! R
9 B7 N+ T4 W9 ~( H
的人离场观望，他们可能会随后参与进来。虽然最近已经大幅上涨，但比特币仍有继续上涨的空间。”
4 m3 n& _5 R9 [: J" M- N. A( F$ `) G) y5 R$ x$ T @
数字资产基金ProChain Capital总裁兼联合创始人大卫·塔威尔(David Tawil)预计，比特币将持续反弹至
8 n5 T' l( `/ [3 T
$ i* B# @8 @5 ]# [# `' a今年年底，比特币ETF获批时，价格达到4.7万美元的高位。 ( O' v. }$ b+ a' h, G
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