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[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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[lastpost] => 2799617 比特币价格盘整,市场情绪再次崩溃!能否反弹至 10 万美元?(转) 1769100551 叫我十三
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当前离线
经验:
天策币:
活跃币:
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总在线: 771 小时
本月在线: 0 分钟
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。
2 u, V. Y: H& ~8 F0 m/ W
3 Z+ d8 @9 g, e. \- {5. 废话的不对称原则6 A9 Y9 p9 p; M
反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。3 l* \4 D8 G# B# K/ m M# c* g
) q# m, m- k- Z7 r回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。% q4 e& f8 b) B) c; U" u
. F! h3 v3 F) R* u/ ?( G$ |8 \写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。" Z- |0 ~" S- T* ?( Y2 _. l
. T. Q, D8 q$ H6 ~6 F
每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。0 ]# ?. n. n& i5 u, @" h: S- X; T0 R
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而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
# f' g, S5 ?- h' S$ F$ H% g" S. e! g5 S$ \9 M& R7 N
6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)% f# V. W) t: ?5 z
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。7 r5 }* ~1 R \7 ]
# R/ r# L4 c W$ u' Z. s1 B" Y不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。' t$ g1 c, E! O2 U
4 p# G6 q$ G! ~$ M, v, Q0 w; Z! F因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。 K' B4 e) `7 J# X9 Z
- o( k% A9 @, P
想象一下罕见事件:
, {9 O2 J( m/ j- C
- G5 k( t9 ]9 J" H! X/ T. O• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
, @$ b1 f# e2 B6 l' E i
1 J/ N9 Y1 P( F• 核打击
+ E# s- _' l0 ~! [2 N, k9 F- z
/ J# e& {- U" c# G! r0 Z3 U我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!( G8 |, H( E7 S( i" }# P) w
- v0 O/ \1 C5 W- u4 {2 T
7.二八定律
$ [: ~. {8 _! y在币圈:
j# ^: @6 l8 D* S7 M1 ^1 Z
0 a, k; n( m, @, t: x80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。7 |8 a }# w+ I- y) z
: x+ ]/ I; i1 }9 j8 Z80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
+ ]* Y q, Z& f7 d7 ~; ?( Q
- I$ }' p! H. v Z4 r我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
( _, ~, ~7 v C) t: e3 C
9 {) j: N- S8 J. X8.网络效应) D# }) y( D5 ?+ \! J i5 M1 w/ H3 a: ~# Y
产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。( m. \3 l' X. J( C4 T
+ e, P+ N; G$ w5 |
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?) Z% y6 O0 C, ^9 x5 ^* \
) G5 N. F+ ~6 z( S# V% p+ i
一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
5 ^- u/ Z# k/ _: U" m0 N& r/ j+ ~ V, o6 T2 _, X9 |+ l) g
投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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当前离线
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