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[lastpost] => 2786545 比特币的十字路口：ETF资金流出、巨鲸转移以及迈向10万美元之路（转） 1764780981 jackcool1011
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当前离线
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方向对了、点位略微出现偏差。 : _) {. O+ g' R. L4 |2 x* z
现在要强调的并非熊市不言底、
/ Q6 n5 H" q5 H9 i( D也不是cpi暴雷问题！
( e+ \1 }1 a* o0 U8 _
8 [% v+ }8 U; S, P9 x. Q而是当本月最大利空落地后，市场依旧一泻千里。 9 n. c5 w, v% x* \- n
失守去年注水5.19低点后、以太再次以该支撑出现夭折行情。 / z4 I. @) a4 }2 J8 M$ s
三箭资本借以太利好、频繁加持，最终近20亿未偿还债务。
! `/ P, I9 a: z! d! }3 [市场机构、除灰度外、其余任何机构基金都出现大幅比未实现亏损。及更多清算问题，
4 F" }3 }, e( j; y市场已不仅仅是恐慌问题。 : E; Y5 H7 ]) F) N/ \! T2 T
而是与美股对比、市场整体对加密的估值出现了动摇！
! s% l$ m( `$ [7 i# e除开泡沫多、市场会重新定义加密价值。
1 W% l g z! ?. S6 u2 h$ U直白的说， 6 X& @* V/ p k
市场借助这轮加息，重新洗牌。
9 R- l, ?0 m0 X' z+ Z9 B; a, Y; E下一轮牛市，周期会十分长。
4 r" D5 E% O( T! P$ |2 i/ A8 Y2 A即使加息结束，69000高点，很难在下一轮牛市形成。
: K2 e4 P( k( [) ~" l但切记，即使是这样，现货也不建议割肉。
* t8 _* `$ ^, y5 {0 u被套躺平、长线布局等cpi稳定。 # b( [% ~1 n* L+ t4 G$ y
短线不追空，不抄底，反弹空。 $ Q( ^% p1 O* f1 @. s8 J( V
跟趋势走，跌透为止。
) n( v" r# B- g: x; c3 [# T" S老观点，周线实体阴线，未收下影。
" T$ h6 R3 o+ X2 e! f. B- g1 Z6 r$ Y下周铁定惯性下行，收阳概率极低。
4 |- J8 y% g3 o4 i4 U, }4 ~环境不允！氛围不允。利空之下，更无资金接力可能。 . }0 ]6 E8 a2 E: @8 {# t/ D5 a! \
夜里继续以反弹4小时近5日线做高空埋伏、
# y8 w6 ]2 b$ o- o5 O. k大饼反弹至18900高空
# F, _! { |/ A% P$ A# v, h补仓19100 防守19300 ( }3 I2 F/ s+ p
目标18100-17950
( ]0 O6 ]5 g8 ?; g1 K4 r6 e& L4 ~破位17650
. L7 f% i+ M X持续下看至17000 n0 H0 v. B* x0 X$ I+ i! P
以太反弹至985-995高空补仓1018 ; v6 k$ }/ {$ [/ q. h! W% K4 b3 G
防守1030
. T9 M8 G9 U1 v) X$ W* D/ B目标910-890 3 q/ n* X. n8 z
还没出现日线大幅度插针、将现阶段所有不利消息一次跌透。开空，仍不晚。 " m( p, a& P! G, W
熊市不言底，市场估值出现问题，新一轮洗牌。 & ~7 U5 R* R" j, ^
还有尾声机会。
& M5 A3 C R, n8 C再晚一点，就只能做横盘箱体。 m) }; Y/ b3 l2 p
来源：金色财经 |
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