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NBA收官排名迷题解析(1)——联盟第一之争
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常规赛就快要结束了,东西部八强已经产生,而东西部(西部尤甚)最终排名还是雾里看花,一片混沌,还有多少的谜题等待解决。! E. t2 s! j7 d
现在,马刺和公牛已经锁定东西部榜首席位,到底谁将问鼎常规赛?
# `6 K1 j2 w' c U这里抽丝剥茧,解析联盟第一之争。
! t8 P# W5 [" G$ y0 S马刺 ( 60胜19负)VS 公牛 (59胜20负)
H h, G) K Z! a- P2 } 不得不说,GDP老了,邓肯挡不住岁月的摧残,吉诺比利不再当第六人,和帕克承担了更多的责任。但就是这老迈的马刺居然再现锋芒,长时间傲居联盟榜首,这或许得益于波波维奇对第二梯队新人乔治希尔、布莱尔和菜鸟尼尔和老将的知人善任,更加真实的原因还是有待专家们的论证吧。
( v9 _) p- l' k; S 未知,赛季末。马刺稍微休整,一波四连败就劈头盖脸的来临,波波维奇悬崖勒马,派出全主力阵容,未曾想,又连续栽倒在凯尔特人和火箭脚下,六连败!
" y; S8 w7 J9 f8 Y 与之相映成趣的是,湖人一路高歌猛进,全明星赛后17胜1负,8连胜,马刺西部第一的宝座岌岌可危。还好,马刺在其后收获了三连胜(虽然对手的成色不高,但马刺好好歹在慢慢找回比赛状态),滑稽的是此时气势如虹的湖人陷入低谷,四连败,马刺终于坐稳西部第一的宝座。5 X' g# E% {7 M& E. [
现在马刺依然处在联盟榜首的位置,马刺未来先后面对的10日爵士、13日湖人、14日太阳。% I; c% X# j$ U
可怜太阳、爵士,曾经多么威风,两者都经历了一个失望的赛季,沦落到远离季后赛,如今无欲无求,纳什已经开始休战,而爵士近10战9败。两队都进入最后年轻人的SHOW TIME,战斗力?纪律性?在全神贯注的马刺面前难以全身而退。当然爵士唯一一胜来源于湖人,值得马刺警醒。4 { d0 b2 q' a& A- ]1 x9 n
在两战之间,马刺将客场挑战湖人,比赛时间颇有玄机,13日10:30。(后面评述)/ X$ m' {; ?: R7 C+ }$ X
公牛夺冠20年的庆典,这鼓舞着年轻人,指引他们再创辉煌。7 s/ a1 u) r8 O* l! g) F8 D
当年公牛曾经与凯尔特人上演激情四溢的攻击战,而今年的公牛是脱胎换骨的一年,锡伯杜这位前凯尔特人的防守教练,让公牛由攻击性的生兵蛋子,演绎成为防守强横,场均失分91.2分,仅次于凯尔特人的90.8,联盟第二,而且公牛的场均胜分7.3分联盟第一。而随着布泽尔来临,球队的进攻体系更加丰富,尤为关键的是罗斯个人的飞跃:羸弱的外线三分球命中率提升(26%至33%),助攻由6变成7.9,这让他变得更加全能,更加难以防范。公牛轮换阵容充沛的出场时间,保证了公牛场上表现的持续性。
& \* P# n: ^% s6 ~8 _/ { 公牛开局短暂的磨合过后,开始发力,尤其是全明星赛后,21胜3负,一跃从东部诸强中脱颖而出,傲居榜首。公牛对阵凯尔特人前期两连败,后期两连胜,让人见识他的提升,而三连胜横扫热火,更加让人恐惧。
. F0 d' b1 ~1 ^/ O$ J. X1 i. o 公牛未来的赛程为11日客场魔术,13日客场尼克斯、14日主场篮网。
* \0 r6 F0 v2 D' ^" m8 @ 公牛只有收官战篮网是囊中之物,而另两战,公牛并没有更大的把握:魔术铁定东部第四,名次无求,而这一战关乎未来的季后赛第二轮,魔术能否倾尽全力?尼克斯正在与76人位于东部第六、七(尼克斯与76人战成2:2,但占有分区战绩优势),尼克斯会否根据热火凯尔特人的位次决定自己的未来,都将影响与公牛的比赛。
G* l0 S+ N) [" E& Y5 n( K6 D 相对来说,马刺的对手更弱一些,而且,马刺完全可以根据公牛对阵魔术、尼克斯(13日8:00)的结果,来决定对阵湖人的投入(13日10:30)。在联盟第一之争中,马刺无疑更加轻松一些。/ R6 J" Q0 c4 ?$ k B$ ?8 Q' G8 J
当然正如广告语所说:NBA、奇迹见证的地方,没到最后一刻,鹿死谁手还是未知数。2 X7 n* j4 Q2 [4 \0 _
那么,不同的情况,最终的常规赛冠军谁属呢?. B6 ?( `1 m" E9 a
根据规则,胜场占优:* W2 d# t+ L% _7 k ]) i N4 X( ~0 c
马刺封王
5 K0 T% j# j, |+ y3 C; n 马刺三战全胜,马刺战绩是63胜19负,公牛最高是63胜19负。* O8 D- w5 M9 M: X! l7 m0 v( I' Y
马刺二胜一负,马刺战绩是62胜20负,公牛二胜一负以下,最高是62胜20负& U6 \3 J/ t) P. A( J
马刺一胜二负,马刺战绩是61胜21负,公牛一胜二负以下,最高是61胜21负
, S9 x0 v2 D% K3 v1 A Y 马刺零胜三负,马刺战绩是60胜22负,公牛三战全负,最高是60胜22负。' x4 g! {3 a c5 H% ~3 s0 i
公牛封王. L7 k/ L0 Z' G4 [8 K5 p; }4 y
马刺一胜二负,马刺战绩是61胜21负,公牛三胜,最高是62胜20负$ S% `5 N- `" N0 O& M+ U6 v" Y
马刺0胜三负,马刺战绩是60胜22负,公牛二胜一负以上,最低是61胜21负8 Y) p) f: s$ b
情况最复杂的出现在双方战绩相同的情况:: v! U1 U" n, P$ G+ S6 P5 q; ]( N
这时公牛称王,为什么?. o3 A, b. o/ f$ C8 P
双方比赛战绩是1:1,势均力敌;
: u( X6 h f( g; R; s 马刺两胜一负,公牛三战全胜,双方同为62胜20负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为39胜13负;
, ^+ ^/ L. @# i4 o 马刺一胜两负,公牛二胜一负,双方同为61胜21负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为38胜14负;7 v/ c3 B2 M) h9 [! j& t' @
马刺0胜2负,公牛一胜两负,双方同为60胜22负,这时双方的赛区战绩同为37胜15负;6 H* k# z6 K& I u; ], `; ]
依旧是不分伯仲,这时就需要比较双方的小赛区胜率:, Q1 R( Y* r1 s5 [! c+ R
马刺是10胜6负,而公牛是15胜1负,双方居然有如此的差距!!!
: j' P/ Y1 @# S 可怜马刺生在西南赛区,强队林立(小牛、黄蜂、灰熊、还有不屈不挠的火箭),
l' p1 v8 b. B3 `) L+ I: `: C x 而公牛所在的中部赛区,步行者、雄鹿、骑士、活塞。8 ?) v, S3 f' ~' V8 E& C
马刺是生不逢处啊!
5 }$ W0 w1 ~1 T# ` 联盟第一到底花落谁家?还是拭目以待吧!' {9 d( H4 B n
个人妄自推断,双方将同为二胜一负,马刺以62胜力压公牛61胜封王! |
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