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开贴讨论罗马尼亚这场比赛，就当长夜漫漫胡侃乱聊了！
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粗略的看了一下这场比赛的盘口和基本资料，因为友谊赛基本不碰，这里有点初步的想法，这里就抛砖引玉了！
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# C3 y# {# R7 Z e4 u7 ~从友谊赛的情况来看，虽然两队的成绩都很烂，但是罗马尼亚比洪都拉斯更烂，虽然罗马尼亚的国际排名要高于洪都拉斯很多，但是对友谊赛来说，这个排名并不能证明什么，国足不刚刚赢了法兰西吗？
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看看盘口3 I4 ~7 ] A+ R5 `
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澳门初盘就是半球盘，立博初盘是半球，后来降到平半盘，其他公司基本都是初盘半球，后来降盘到平半盘。+ p4 I! X, u# _2 f: v
降盘的意图无非就是不看好上盘或者是诱下盘" q) \$ ^$ d# R
分开来说：
1 w) Z, ?3 |! s# m1.不看好上盘- l5 y: f! a- Q5 M9 Z) j
判断庄家是不是真的不看好上盘，可以从大众心理来入手，两队的状态都很烂，但是罗马尼亚更烂，即使实力和排名都强于客队，在大众心理上来说上下盘的筹码差别应该不会太大，这种情况下，庄家如果真的是不看好上盘，降盘的情况下，一定会将部分筹码赶往下盘。那么我真的不看好上盘，我把筹码赶到下盘做什么？
. H/ u0 I! Z/ D2.诱下盘
& h! H& e5 K% V4 a5 z! Y- ^诱下盘，也就是说实际上是看好上盘的，这种情况下如上述第一点所说，筹码会倾向于下盘，达到了诱的目的。0 F: u$ M5 ^' F$ g1 M% o+ I5 j
v+ W- x) ]0 \# v$ F经过上述分析，判断庄家是在诱下盘。" y! v" R Y* S2 e1 Q
这里还有一个特殊就是澳门，目前还维持在半球盘不动。后续观察吧！7 n" E; ]; j; u6 U! d- m, A
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以上纯属个人观点，欢迎大家拍砖！ |
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个人看好洪都拉斯,洪都拉斯希望世界杯前开个门红,而罗马尼亚没有欲望 |
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[b]回复 [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148043&ptid=58999]2#[/url] [i]dodoken2[/i] [/b]
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还有5天就开幕了，也许保存实力避免受伤是球队的一种选择！ |
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其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降8 p+ X' m/ ]6 e! J$ R/ ~$ E
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我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘 |
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[quote]其实亚盘一直有在造诱下盘的假象,欧赔洪都拉斯胜和平一直在降
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. d1 K6 s- M7 ^2 P8 O2 `& R4 v x我现象洪都拉斯会赢盘( `$ @6 O: m) P* n8 `% e
[size=2][color=#999999]dodoken2 发表于 2010-6-6 00:28[/color] [url=http://www.tcelue.com/redirect.php?goto=findpost&pid=148064&ptid=58999]http://www.tcelue.com/images/common/back.gif[/url][/size][/quote]
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, P4 B/ J8 L3 D) A, g 欧赔比较弱，可不可以理解为欧赔的胜和平在降也是一种诱？ |
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