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当下，以太坊的市场态势呈现出多空因素相互交织的局面。短期内，它存在波动风险；而从长期来看，由于基本面表现强劲，具备一定的上行潜力，具体情况如下：短期趋势8 v8 f2 h. y* Z
目前，以太坊正处于调整状态，价格在4550 - 4650美元的区间内上下波动。从技术指标分析，短期内市场偏向空头。MACD指标显示动力正在减弱，RSI指标低于50。倘若以太坊价格无法守住4620美元这一阻力位，那么下跌行情可能会持续。其初步支撑位大概在4500美元附近，主要支撑位则在4460美元。一旦跌破主要支撑位，可能会引发新一轮的下跌。相反，要是以太坊能够突破4620 - 4650美元的阻力区间，就有可能开启新一轮的上涨行情。
4 N+ }' Q1 \2 S3 |5 W/ D$ |长期趋势
% R# I# u j: R r3 E$ ?) j以太坊的基本面较为稳固，拥有一定的上行潜力。机构对以太坊的关注程度不断提高，在2025年9月8日至12日期间，以太坊基金实现了6.38亿美元的净流入，ETF连续四周保持上涨态势，累计流入量超过133亿美元。与此同时，交易所的储备量已降至2016年以来的最低水平，超过3600万ETH（约占供应量的30%）被质押，这进一步收紧了市场的流动性，抛售压力有所减轻。4 c, P4 M1 ^7 ~: D* e6 y* Z
不过，花旗银行发布的报告预测，以太坊到年底的目标价为4300美元，低于当前的现货价格。该报告认为以太坊短期价格存在高估风险，并且L2的价值捕获问题可能会对其长期价值的实现产生影响。此外，加密货币市场容易受到政策、宏观经济等多种因素的影响，价格波动幅度较大，投资者在进行投资时需保持谨慎。
* u; r% r* d0 u, ~4 ^ |
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