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[lastpost] => 2749378 为什么比特币今天会下跌？分析师认为有3个主要原因！下一波大幅反弹将出现-转 1752948872 爬格子的瘦书生
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0 c9 ~! q4 O9 _ 7月1日晚，复旦大学经济学院举办“稳定币与国际金融大变局”线上研讨会。会上，复旦大学国际金融研究中心主任杨长江认为，
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稳定币近年来迅速“出圈”，既受到美国总统特朗普的政策偏好等偶然因素影响，也体现了全球化与金融化在数字经济时代共振耦合的- ~4 ?( m9 a4 e7 |+ { w. y X. j, [
7 H. K( y% x! \必然趋势。杨长江指出，美国高度重视稳定币，其背后是出于维持美元霸权的考量。
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' _* x0 X0 l$ p 他认为，稳定币是代币化时代货币形态演进的阶段性成果，虽存在诸多问题，但其货币属性已初具雏形。它实现了三大平衡：一
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% \) a; E( Q1 e. q* p是公权与私权的结合，以法定货币为锚、由市场机构发行；二是中心化与去中心化的融合，在链上形成去中心化交易基础的同时保留
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. c2 [2 V0 F' @7 s7 A发行方控制力；三是链上与链下的协同，既服务于数字世界，也在现实世界的跨境支付、金融包容等方面展现出广泛应用。
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9 h: l- D* W# N7 \ 杨长江表示，尽管国际清算银行在其最新报告中对稳定币提出严厉批评，认为其在货币基本功能方面不合格，但我们应以更开放、, X% }( m- S/ l) t& e7 z
9 n8 h$ v1 s4 x, [8 |包容的态度看待这一新兴事物。他强调，随着商业银行逐步参与稳定币发行，未来将出现科技公司与金融机构之间的竞争与合作格局，3 w. l6 T! l! _0 b2 @
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也将进一步推动数字金融生态的发展。4 F( N' @8 N# \/ b8 g: u
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关于稳定币背后的全球化演进问题，杨长江说道，“美国这么热心做这件事情，有它的考虑。过去美元以黄金、石油为支撑，未来则 t+ X, e* c: ^
! k; s( R3 A6 Y3 E( e可能是数字资产。如果美国控制住了数字世界，那么美元霸权未来就更有希望延续。”/ N7 v, {4 \: i: _% o% ?
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他还提出，美国推行稳定币的背后不仅是为美国国债创造了操作性需求，更是一个战略性想法——企图构建链上以美元为基准的下; K8 o1 N7 F: E% r! I
2 ?6 H, ` ~6 f0 w一个代币化的全球金融体系。7 w) J, n1 t+ z" M
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在谈及人民币国际化时，杨长江建议天朝采取“双轨并行”战略：一方面加快央行数字货币建设，另一方面积极探索人民币锚定型稳定
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0 x9 k5 R2 H; y1 r币的发展路径，尤其应在香港、上海等地创造应用场景，主动适应数字金融趋势。他表示，天朝应把握数字金融发展机遇，在监管与创新% q* i/ R8 w9 y% c7 H9 N& w
+ G1 v( f# I3 O0 O0 e" w之间找到平衡点，为人民币国际化开辟新空间。% y8 ^) ~* [8 H. d% W3 r
. U% S/ T$ E g 人民币国际化，应该是两条腿走路。传统的贸易、投资项下推广人民币使用，以及试点央行数字人民币等，这是一条腿。另外一条腿就
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是推行人民币稳定币，规范和推广实际上已经存在的人民币稳定币贸易结算。我们需要双管齐下，来找到最合适的途径。: n3 S5 W/ \& F& x, }7 W3 }
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