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[虚拟币交流]
比特币维持在 10.5 万美元以上：长期投资者会推动 BTC 的下一轮反弹吗？（转）
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长期持有者依然坚定持有，比特币仍处于积累阶段。# p5 ]4 h- M! u! Q
现货市场采购活动增强了现有的看涨情绪。) B# X5 c1 z2 @) h( O5 \4 f
在过去的24小时内，比特币[BTC]价格上涨 1.12%，截至发稿时交易价格超过 105,000 美元。
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尽管市场普遍动荡，但比特币价格依然保持坚挺，这主要得益于长期持有者的积极参与。AMBCrypto 分析了这一趋势是否可持续。
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长期持有者没有抛售迹象
& o: P) f2 q0 n; f& m. q7 s" N比特币的 RHODL 比率（将长期持有者（6 个月至 2 年）与短期持有者（1 天至 3 个月）进行比较）显示后者仍在持有。1 F7 N: k; F# ~$ ?( z
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值得注意的是，RHODL 比率目前低于 2，低于 2024 年的高点，表明长期抛售压力仍然很小。
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截至发稿时，重要市场指标普尔倍数 (Puell Multiple) 显示读数低于 1.40。
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这一指标很重要，因为它表明机构和现货市场投资者正在利用积累阶段来购买资产。
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从历史上看，当普尔倍数保持在 1.40 水平以下时，它与积累期一致 - 表明比特币具有更大的上涨潜力。
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' g3 ]( R" f6 b3 w d& l; DAMBCrypto 进一步评估市场参与者是否正在积累或分配资产。, b: ^) c1 t Y c! U
; e K o" a0 L" t6 d: M现货和传统投资者购买比特币的人数下降9 D) z& |5 M9 L W7 `- ~
现货市场活动和传统投资者都增加了购买活动。
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& X' F7 E& y$ [# C5 s9 y( ?过去24小时内，现货市场投资者购买比特币的金额为6055万美元。然而，这是过去五天以来的最低单日购买量。; r( l9 B# ]6 |2 h* z
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与此同时，传统投资者支出 3.017 亿美元，创下五天购买量最高的记录之一。' @6 L+ F& I* {, Z; w2 A+ J
/ B3 O! I4 H( n4 ?此项活动证实，投资者正试图利用当前 105,000 美元的价格水平，根据 Puell Multiple，这仍被视为折扣。
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问题依然存在：所有细分市场都会遵循积累趋势吗？AMBCrypto 进行了更深入的挖掘，发现了更多见解。
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加密基金进入市场：供应紧缩？
, @, Y& I* _6 ^% s8 k1 T/ G截至发稿时，基金市场溢价显示加密投资基金也在购买比特币。- ?$ [/ I8 F: h/ U3 I
+ |5 I3 g: F' A9 e* b2 O& X o当基金市场溢价进入图表上的正值区域时（目前为 0.1），就会发生买入。 X8 n0 [# {! w
) S' Y! f' N" N该指标的持续上升表明，比特币可能会保持其上涨趋势，尤其是与其他增持指标一起来看时。这也增加了供应紧缩的可能性。
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5 ]( l$ f7 E& |% O. I当需求超过供应时，就会出现供应紧缩，从而推高资产价格。
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