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[lastpost] => 2764119 从2700亿飙到3.7万亿！稳定币突然爆火，为啥全世界都盯着香港？ 1757492469 垂钓园
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BTC在过去一周中恢复了适度的恢复，徒步旅行2.81％。3 t/ _4 ~0 {4 w0 f, l5 M
比特币的杠杆比率下降，因为投机需求降温，而现货需求上升。, C9 o# N+ r" }: M }
在过去的一周中，比特币[BTC]继续向侧面交易。实际上，截至撰写本文时，比特币在上升0.22％后的交易价格为07.052美元。; v. E2 C/ M, U! f
U) w& n7 q, ?此外，BTC在每周和每月的图表上分别远足2.81％和2.89％。
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最近的价格泵提出了有关哪些因素驱动它的问题。 Inasmuch，加密分析师Dan提出，BTC的杠杆比率降低，BTC的机构需求和长期积累的较高。# X2 M) {7 t9 q0 Q# |" m' X8 C r
+ p. j. G9 B+ @2 ]) O& e; q5 x
比特币的杠杆率降低
* l8 e0 C0 q3 V4 J( a! d根据CryptoQuant自11月21日以来，比特币的杠杆比率已下降。杠杆比率的下降表明，相对于集中式交易所可用的BTC，开放利息（OI）正在下降。
6 b9 \) o5 m8 i' {0 w; g% R4 `% h/ z$ b6 c( F3 b: |" t
从历史上看，较低的杠杆比率降低了清算级联的风险，从而使价格动作更有机而不是衍生品驱动。4 b9 {: J6 U" }, f7 O& K$ c! A
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同样，相对于价格，OI到市场上限也有所下降。这种下降表明，价格图的收益在很大程度上是由现货需求而不是投机驱动的。) e4 w8 M: X" {0 V8 k. f6 ^
6 }8 `, a4 e& S; D3 p9 d, _卖出比率也证明了这一趋势，这意味着随着市场的降温，较长的头寸即将结束。
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I7 p$ P! w+ b' N; d值得注意的是，至关重要的是，CEX储备还经历了持续下降。在此期间，BTC在购买比特币ETF的同时转移到了Coinbase Prime。当CEX储备下降时，这意味着可以出售的BTC较少。 Coinbase的流量增加表明，大型参与者，尤其是机构正在积累。- p" J# b% u; v r: {
7 }+ L" N5 @; a+ V. W; _$ V0 N当所有这些市场行为融合在一起时，这意味着比特币目前正在看到健康的市场。价格不是由杠杆驱动的，使未来的集会更加可持续。( y/ n8 V+ o( a3 G
9 e7 k; v5 Q: o N2 B8 ]$ V这对BTC意味着什么
t( D' W/ x# D! b4 i0 ~& ]随着杠杆率较小，机构积极积累的杠杆率较小，这表明市场正在经历强烈的看涨情绪。, K3 D0 z9 K! B. j
/ O. A+ k- o; u4 I6 ?( P# Y$ ]例如，比特币的Coinbase Premium指数在过去一周中一直保持积极。这不仅表明了美国投资者的积极情绪，而且还提高了机构的需求。1 J q8 E6 ^4 k
) _- V0 q* r) d( d+ {从历史上看，机构的需求更高，在提高价格上涨方面发挥了关键作用。
. I, j7 ?- {3 ~: T: x7 f9 |! t7 {: W. T) ~ ]
此外，比特币的基金市场溢价在过去的一天中飙升了积极。当这变得积极时，这意味着投资者是看好的，渴望的短裤以保持自己的职位。7 `$ ~! f$ T* E( o" Z; ]
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这意味着渴望的价格会在短期内上涨。
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最后，市场参与者越来越积累，流出量超过流入。 Exchange Netflow已下降到-2.9k，随着投资者继续积累，反映了更多的交换提款。
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7 j9 y7 |7 B+ i A2 [读 比特币的[BTC]价格预测 2025–2026
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! F5 m0 e/ H0 U- m: _4 W简而言之，随着零售和大型持有人的积累，比特币正在增强看涨的势头。这种市场行为表明，BTC市场已经冷却，将加密货币定位为进一步的收益。
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如果这种情绪成立，BTC将在短期回收$ 98,127，然后尝试突破至$ 10万美元。随后，这里的回调将使比特币降至$ 95,800。
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