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[虚拟币交流]
Ripple加入ISDA会员！XRP目标价1896美元？（转载）
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支付网络公司Ripple近期加入了ISDA会员，有人乐观预估其币价会上看1,898美元。) x, _, x* s3 l) L* i |2 J
ISDA有何重要性？真的对XRP币价有如此深远的影响吗？
$ H) W# P6 Z% T4 _2 X什么是ISDA？3 ^' e* p6 ^' x* G7 L0 e3 e: O
国际交换兼衍生性商品协会(International Swaps and Derivatives Association，ISDA)为总部位于美国纽约的非
9 u3 A/ n0 L1 u d营利性组织，成立于1985年。银行或金融交易对手若要承作衍生性金融商品，都会预先签订所谓的ISDA主契约
c* n2 w7 U% m" F( ^" Q- T(master agreement)，这个由ISDA设计，目前广为世界各金融中心所沿用的法律契约，其主要功能在于规范交易9 s1 i; T+ S6 l" ]
双方的法律风险及信用风险，并且通过中立的角色，设计出公平的法律条款，使双方的交易成本降低，有助于市" h$ j3 \. t: b" T
场的正常发展。: W. k3 a( Q3 a" m3 c; y% q' s/ X
换句话说，要跟全球的金融机构交易衍生性商品，就必需加入ISDA。
/ M3 K |5 @: ~- \" V进入ISDA的数字资产会员名单，目前仅有16名会员，其中大家比较熟悉的还包括Crypto.com、Algorand和
" x f) l) h. Y% `2 FDigital Asset。
8 U* Z5 J" l2 _# W% f8 O; t加入ISDA，XRP目标价1,896美元？# C- _: M2 Q9 z, [
Digital Perspectives PermaBull的推文引发了一系列讨论。他强调了Ripple与ISDA的合作对XRP价格的潜在影% }7 a, ]/ l0 j, B
响，其中引用了Mr.Man的推算法，若Ripple能获得主流的采用，将使其币价来到1,896美元。& K, O7 J ?0 E7 @+ F9 j+ \& d
根据其推论：' ] N5 N6 V# W" a
现今全球衍生性商品总市值为1,000兆美元
! M8 Z1 `4 H9 M: S4 z) |% r若Ripple能协助处理其中10%的交易量，也就是100兆美元
3 u3 U5 d9 t. y. R5 [XRP目前总市值为349亿美元: }6 B, l9 s- E) p# L" c5 q
需成长2,865倍才能达到100兆美元
; O3 y$ m6 _7 s9 s1 t/ U$ U: ^而XRP目前币价为0.661742
1 J( P9 o8 e; Q0.661742*2865=1,896.23美元
7 n2 N( R& X& r6 `! x4 W挟带ISO和ISDA的优势引导传统金融的采用？8 D' _; g" f+ w- @8 }( a$ H# Q$ {; p
不过观察XRP近期的走势，仅有在七月中因与SEC的诉讼案传出好消息而一度大涨99%，之后币价逐渐回落后似乎, o! z9 T' y) V' p% y% V
也未有极大的波动。+ q" T0 B# c( J; t0 z
而上述的论点仅基于简单的假设和推论，比方说10%的交易量，是来自传统金融产业想利用区块链技术进行衍生9 k; Z- ^5 d2 x; a, h6 x7 l
性金融商品交易？交易量和市值的关系应该也不是如此直观而直接。但随着Ripple和SEC的诉讼案逐渐明朗，这
$ L4 {. W1 d8 _( [. T个早期加入区块链的支付公司，是否有机会利用其XRP Ledger的底层技术，挟带ISO20022和ISDA的优势，慢慢4 s, T' n$ Q& H- A: J8 p0 C y
引导传统金融的采用呢？, D* g- ]* c9 g2 Q, c, m9 L. w, D( L
5 S4 p/ y# E& n$ {; I2 s3 h |
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