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小分3种情况:8 X2 c0 _. R/ J7 ], |
; I# g3 D3 j( N' p& C
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌。
. v9 ^& G; e: S5 U8 a
4 o8 _5 [( n9 @1 l& D2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点。1 T5 _, u; J4 a9 K0 @, S4 I
+ H8 `/ U% X6 {. x1 D3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点。4 T. Y7 X4 E a4 M' D) A0 G- I
7 {" H, l5 y7 r r+ V( ?
2张牌8或9点的情况有:4 _5 Z/ {- a' `* p
/ T4 o5 I# n8 [; s6 H) t$ G
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+4,4+5,8+10,9+9,9+10
2 A# ?, D. [( f& @+ e6 m- e, `; i1 _' w' y. _5 y
1+7,1+8,2+6,2+7,3+5,3+6,4+5的概率计算方法都是:32/416*32/415% y9 g: S6 {/ T/ y5 x& U0 W
9 S' f; {- v% Y- j2 ? E( ~) s4+4,9+9的概率计算方法都是:32/416*31/4156 R# E+ @6 P/ a' q; N; b* L" h$ S, Q
' z: t8 v; ^; f8+10,9+10的概率计算方法都是:32/416*128/415* ?5 T) G2 \ y9 X7 d
/ a. y7 A9 W% c9 E由此,我们可以计算出,8副牌2张牌出现8或9点的概率为:0.189434662。
: _8 P/ [9 I( k! J$ w1 V8 Z. W
E! y6 O. J0 D0 `( h, }通过同样的计算方法,6或7点的概率与8或9点的概率一样。4 E$ W; S# s4 p
3 n2 x* w N9 F那么我们可以得出! D: ] y! {5 D1 q
H6 ]$ f! F7 j! R7 f9 U8 ~/ Z
1.闲2张牌8或9点,庄任意牌的概率=0.1894346621 } {/ ~* H! S7 i; ?
- l W; b* F) B" l. [" m2.庄2张牌8或9点,闲非8、9点的概率=0.189434662*(1-0.189434662)=0.153549171
0 W# C5 D" g2 o8 }7 o7 v- N5 T+ }2 }! ?7 B2 O- j* j U# ~5 C9 F' R: J
3.闲2张牌6或7点and庄2张牌6或7点=0.189434662*0.189434662=0.0358854918 E3 U! h! d# m
9 D8 p! v2 d( P2 i
所以最后得出初始状态下,小的概率=0.189434662+0.153549171+0.035885491=0.3788693236 H* ]# F3 n. h
: f6 f* y% u# j百家乐非小即大,所以大的概率=1-0.378869323=0.621130677/ u" Y! q. N6 s/ y5 `, O' Z
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方法最后一段话觉得是有道理的,但是在我面前就难以实现,毕竟运气太差了。 |
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