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[1753] => 数字钱包
[1754] => 虚拟币存提
[1755] => 交易所
[1655] => 虚拟币资讯
[1756] => 银行卡
[1757] => 第三方支付
[1760] => 币圈大佬
[1758] => 科技前沿
[1759] => 天策嗨聊
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上次分享了第一篇,这次继续来分享第二篇。 1 x8 U B4 G' W3 p1 Z) T* z
) [- _' u9 Z( \$ T$ c3 B5. 废话的不对称原则
2 V/ E. p5 G. V m' p r' P* L: o. m反驳废话所需的能量比产生废话要大一个数量级。* I1 b% W a: D- X$ ^
. N# `2 }- H/ q/ p5 W4 i/ o回想: 写 luna 的优点=成千的点赞。0 }4 T" M+ d: Y, U) \' b1 R
4 S4 Y$ D5 ]! Y7 ~写 luna 的缺点=无数的敌人和谩骂。* L: d$ e6 \) x+ I" Q0 I/ o& M. |# \
7 r" \6 F/ j5 B- x' s/ A每个周期,都会有邪教类型的项目,人们无视核心,只因利益一致而拼死维护。
& ], o! P. ^* ~, n7 d o1 z6 q! P9 @3 a/ D5 x
而对抗它们需要太多的精力。
) H) q3 ~* m* P
' }: C- i' C6 N- M) H( j7 c& `6.风险不可知原则(黑天鹅)9 X$ h7 H' y- x8 ^ i
被知道的风险:智能合约漏洞。
% v! K3 W# K+ E' e
/ W& f* r4 g: V+ D不可知的风险:911、3箭崩溃等。% ]5 A, d" k0 o1 }
& s' y# }& i8 ?因为不可知的风险一直存在,只有多样化才能防范。
- e% k1 c/ o8 c" H$ g1 [3 m% u7 R2 {$ d8 x& Z
想象一下罕见事件:
' \+ |2 h+ ]& b4 T0 L4 \0 t$ k( k% M$ H9 f. s) s
• 中本聪的钱包苏醒
5 Q( L: C; j# U5 S9 r6 h9 R1 } e# G& h2 }: j
• 核打击
) u: X3 W* f N9 Q2 l+ L+ ]' ~4 g. Y1 R4 w+ M+ R
我们倾向于低估黑天鹅的影响!8 ~$ H+ i% B( W5 z
& Z8 B' `! l" Z! [ o
7.二八定律0 T0 M; _6 t9 R3 B- {( I# k. x3 o
在币圈:7 w$ d! O' ~+ ?- ?
4 P! R6 a3 q4 j80% 的收入来自 20% 的协议。" }5 b7 @# J! T
- g' q0 F- M9 J: D80%的利润被20%的人拿走。
6 a2 `6 z) `1 ^! @5 Q% x0 I# X
. N6 B- B7 r1 ~, g我们大多数时候是8,而不是2,时刻警惕这一点。
# z' {$ ]& U2 b/ D* {& r
- e4 k0 g+ X# A! J2 R8 e1 K+ V1 g2 W# L8.网络效应
/ L; q* I( |+ ]. p产品随着更多用户加入而更有价值。! b- j1 Y, G- ?% r) B
( \3 o& R& N( D$ R9 U' V
想想脸书如果没人使用会有什么价值?1 u7 I5 W3 |. N. ^! D7 O; g
4 ~& B* e5 T% f, S7 E一个产品产生了网络效应,就成为了护城河。
, p/ V5 f4 W+ v, J* b5 a
# {* o* ~% m5 d* A投资时,要考虑什么产品能产生护城河。 往往只有一个产品能获胜。
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